A Second Straight Loss to Indiana for Phoenix? Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction | June 25, 2026
Indiana Fever
Phoenix Mercury
One of the WNBA games of the day takes place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where Indiana Fever host Phoenix Mercury in the second meeting between these teams within a few days. Indiana won the first matchup 86-77 and now has a chance to complete a season sweep at home.
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Match Preview
Indiana enters this game with momentum after winning five of their last seven contests. Their most recent victory came against Phoenix, where Caitlin Clark led the way with 24 points while Kelsey Mitchell added 22. Monique Billings also delivered a strong double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds.
The Fever currently sit third in the Eastern Conference with a 10-7 record and have been particularly effective on their home floor, winning seven of ten games this season. Offensively, Indiana has been the most productive team in the WNBA, averaging a league-best 92.1 points per game. The backcourt duo of Clark and Mitchell continues to drive one of the fastest and most dangerous offenses in the league, while Aliyah Boston remains the team's leading rebounder and interior presence.
Phoenix arrives in Indianapolis in difficult form. The Mercury have lost five of their last six games, with their only victory during that stretch coming against Seattle. Their recent loss to Indiana highlighted many of the issues that have plagued the team throughout the season.
Kahleah Copper scored 20 points in the previous meeting, while Alyssa Thomas contributed 5 points, 5 rebounds, and 9 assists. However, the Mercury struggled to consistently generate offense and once again found themselves unable to keep pace with a high-scoring opponent.
Phoenix currently owns a 5-13 record and sits near the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Their road performances have been disappointing as well, with only three wins in ten away games. The Mercury average just 82.2 points per contest, nearly ten points fewer than Indiana's league-leading offense.
Phoenix continue to rely heavily on Kahleah Copper, who leads the team in scoring, while Natasha Mack has been their most productive rebounder. Alyssa Thomas remains the engine of the offense, leading the Mercury in assists and playing a key role in creating opportunities for her teammates.
Key Trends
- Indiana has won 5 of its last 7 games.
- Phoenix has lost 5 of its last 6 games.
- Indiana has won 5 consecutive home games against Phoenix.
- Phoenix has won only 2 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
- Indiana leads the WNBA in scoring with 92.1 points per game.
- Indiana is 7-3 at home this season.
- Phoenix is 3-7 on the road.
Prediction
The first meeting between these teams showed a clear difference in current form. Indiana's offense generated quality looks throughout the game, and Phoenix simply struggled to match that firepower for four quarters. The Fever continue to play with confidence behind Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell, while their home-court advantage has been a major factor all season. Phoenix, meanwhile, remains inconsistent offensively and has struggled against quality opponents away from home. Considering Indiana's elite scoring numbers, strong home record, recent head-to-head dominance, and Phoenix's poor recent form, the Fever look well-positioned to earn another comfortable victory. Recommended Bet: Indiana Fever Asian Handicap -7
