A new project faces a tricky rival: Monaco vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Monaco vs Cercle Bruges prediction Photo: beinsports.com / Author unknown
Club Friendlies (Round 1) 31 july 2026, 11:00
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International,

The friendly clash between Monaco and Cercle Brugge will take place on Friday in the French commune of La Turbie, on the pitch of the AS Monaco Performance Center. The Monegasques continue their rebuild under the guidance of Filipe Luís, while the Belgian side is trying to find its rhythm after a tough last season and a disappointing start to their summer preparations.

Monaco: Filipe Luís begins the rebuild

Last season fell short of Monaco’s ambitions: the team finished only seventh in Ligue 1 and earned just a ticket to the Conference League. In the crucial final stretch, the Monegasques won just one out of five matches, falling five points behind sixth-placed Rennes and missing out on the coveted Champions League zone by a wide margin.

This summer, Filipe Luís took charge of the club, tasked with quickly integrating new signings and restoring stability. The squad was bolstered by Mathis Ablin and the permanent signing of Ansu Fati from Barcelona, while Bamba Dieng moved to Newcastle and Caio Henrique left for Ajax. In their first friendlies, Monaco crushed Saint-Priest 5-2 but then lost 0-2 to Sporting, once again exposing the gap between their explosive attack and their lack of balance.

Cercle Brugge: Survival is behind, but problems remain

Cercle Brugge finished only 14th in the Belgian top-flight regular season, forced to fight for survival in the relegation group. There, the team looked much more confident, securing second place and avoiding the drop, but the overall level last season left plenty of question marks.

Since March, the Belgians have been led by Lars Friis, but their summer so far offers little cause for optimism. Cercle Brugge have played three friendly matches without a single win, their last test ending in a heavy 0-3 defeat to Reims. The team remains organized and knows their opponent well, but in their current form, they'll struggle to withstand pressure from a more talented squad.

Match facts and head-to-head stats

  • Monaco won just one of their last five Ligue 1 matches last season.
  • Cercle Brugge have not won any of their three summer friendlies.
  • In the last four head-to-head friendlies, Monaco have never beaten the Belgian club by more than one goal.

The hosts’ class should decide it: Monaco vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Monaco clearly outclass their rivals in terms of squad depth, individual skill, and overall quality. After the loss to Sporting, Filipe Luís’s team will surely look to ramp up intensity and play more aggressively in the opposition half, especially as their new signings continue to settle in.

Cercle Brugge might be able to hold off the favorites for a while thanks to their discipline and team cohesion, but their current form looks far too weak. That said, the history of these friendlies suggests a blowout is unlikely: Monaco should win, but probably not by a wide margin.

Prediction on game W2(+1.5)
Odds: 1.75
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