Tottenham vs West Ham prediction, H2H and probable lineups — January 17, 2026
On Saturday, January 17, as part of Matchday 22 of the English Premier League, a London derby awaits as Tottenham hosts West Ham on their home turf. Read on for an in-depth look at both teams’ form and our match prediction.
Match preview
Tottenham heads into this clash in less than stellar form. The team has managed just one win in their last seven matches, fueling growing rumors about a possible dismissal of manager Thomas Frank. The Spurs have yet to win in the new year: their last victory came on December 28, when they edged out Crystal Palace 1-0. The only goal in that match was scored by Archie Gray—his first and so far only goal for Tottenham.
This run of poor results has dropped Spurs to 14th in the table, though the Premier League standings are extremely tight this season. Tottenham trails Brentford, currently occupying the last European competition spot, by just six points. That’s likely the ceiling for Spurs this season, as they were knocked out of the FA Cup last week after losing 2-1 to Aston Villa. Wilson Odobert’s goal was merely a consolation—nothing more could be achieved.
West Ham’s situation is even more dire. The Hammers sit 18th, seven points adrift of safety, with Nottingham Forest just above the drop zone. Survival and avoiding relegation to the Championship will be a tall order. However, the club is making moves to bolster the squad, having already secured two signings: Valentín Castellanos from Lazio and Pablo Felipe from Portuguese side Gil Vicente.
Last week, unlike Tottenham, West Ham triumphed in the FA Cup, defeating QPR—but it took 120 minutes to get the job done. As a result, some players may still be feeling the effects, despite the time that has passed. In the Premier League, West Ham’s last win dates all the way back to November 8, when they edged Burnley 3-2.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Tottenham are winless in their last four matches.
- Tottenham have conceded in each of their last three games.
- West Ham have conceded in nineteen straight matches.
- Five of West Ham’s last seven matches have featured over 2 goals.
- In the last ten meetings between these sides, Tottenham have the upper hand: Spurs have won five, the Hammers have won two, and three have ended in draws.
- The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Tottenham claim a convincing 3-0 victory.
Probable lineups
- Tottenham: Vicario - Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Spence - Bissouma, Palhinha, Simons - Odobert, Tel, Kolo Muani
- West Ham: Hermansen - Wan-Bissaka, Kilman, Todibo, Scarles - Potts, Magassa, Fernandes - Bowen, Paquetá, Castellanos
Prediction
I expect this match to be high-scoring. West Ham have conceded more than any other side in the Premier League this season, but still have the attacking firepower to trouble opponents. Given these factors, a bet on over 2.5 goals looks like a logical choice.
