Chasing a 14th win of the season: Prediction for the New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings matchup
New York Liberty
Dallas Wings
In the WNBA regular season, the New York Liberty will take on the Dallas Wings. The game is scheduled for the night of Wednesday, July 8, with tip-off at 02:00 Central European Time. I'm here to offer my pick for the winner of this clash.
Head-to-head and statistical facts
- Liberty have won seven of their last eight home games.
- Wings are among the league's top three teams in road wins.
- Dallas defeated New York 91-76 in their first head-to-head meeting this season.
New York heads into this home showdown with Dallas in high spirits. After a rocky start to the season, Chris DeMarco's team has found its rhythm and, by early July, cemented themselves among the leaders in the regular season standings.
Their recent results have been particularly impressive: the Liberty took down two of the main title contenders in succession—Las Vegas Aces and the then-table-topping Minnesota Lynx.
The main strength of this New York squad remains their powerful offensive lineup. Breanna Stewart is having one of the best seasons of her career, consistently scoring over 20 points, while Sabrina Ionescu continues to orchestrate the offense with a combination of scoring and high assist numbers. In recent games, the team has significantly improved its three-point shooting percentage and now ranks among the league's best both offensively and defensively.
Home court will be a crucial factor, as the Liberty traditionally play with much more confidence in New York. The team is hitting its stride, and if Stewart, Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones maintain their usual efficiency, the Liberty have a great chance to extend their winning streak and solidify their position at the top of the standings.
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Dallas has been one of the breakout stories of the 2026 season. After several challenging years, Jose Fernandez’s squad is playing at an entirely new level, and by midseason also boasts a 13–8 record, remaining firmly in the hunt for a top spot in the standings.
All eyes are on the team's young stars. No. 1 overall pick Azzi Fudd quickly adapted to WNBA play and has become one of the club's main sharpshooters. Paige Bueckers is just as dazzling, regularly taking charge in crunch time. Together, they form one of the league's most promising backcourts, while veteran Jessica Shepard provides balance in the paint.
Heading to New York, the Wings are in fine form. They recently notched wins over the Connecticut Sun (86-83) and Toronto Tempo (89-76), falling only to powerhouse Minnesota. What's most impressive is how confidently Dallas plays in close games, with their young leaders repeatedly showing nerves of steel in the clutch.
The visitors’ biggest advantage heading into this contest is psychological: it was the Wings who handed the Liberty one of their toughest losses of the season, so they know exactly how to break down New York's defense. Dallas is more than capable of challenging one of the league’s top favorites and repeating the success of that first encounter.
What’s the pick?
The Liberty are peaking. At the same time, the team will be highly motivated to avenge their recent blowout loss to Dallas. The Wings are also having an excellent season and come into this game riding a two-game winning streak, but now face a tough road test against one of the league’s best home teams. My pick: Liberty to win with a -2 point spread.
