Benin vs Guinea: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — March 31, 2026

Benin vs Guinea prediction Photo: beinsports.com / Author unknown
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Steve Mounie
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One of Tuesday’s friendlies will take place on neutral ground in Morocco, where Guinea will take on Benin. Here’s my pick for the outcome of this clash—a contest where discipline off the ball and the ability to endure in positional play will be absolutely decisive.

Match preview

Guinea come into this fixture riding an unbeaten streak, which gives the team a real boost of inner confidence. Even the 2-2 draw with Togo in their previous match highlighted a key point: this team knows how to stay in the game, even when things aren’t going their way.

However, Guinea still lack consistency over the course of a full match. The team can shine in certain stretches, but against well-organized opponents, they often struggle with composure in the final third and controlling the tempo—especially when their rivals deliberately try to kill the game’s rhythm.

Benin are exactly the kind of opponent you don’t want to face in matches where the cost of a mistake outweighs the desire to open up. They put in a strong showing throughout 2025, made it to the Africa Cup of Nations playoffs, and in recent cycles have shown themselves to be a side capable of managing their energy and playing to the scoreline.

Yes, the end of their World Cup qualifying campaign was a bitter pill for Benin—two setbacks dropped them to third behind South Africa and Nigeria. But it’s stretches like these that usually toughen up teams: Benin have become more cautious, tighter without the ball, and increasingly focused on pragmatic football with minimal open spaces.

Probable lineups

  • Benin: Dandjinou, Boni, Imourane, Moumini, Olaytan, Ouoro, Samadou, Yoan, Mounie, Silva, Tchiany.
  • Guinea: Sylla, Camara, Konate, Cisse, Sylla, Balde, Traore, Jeanneh, Diaby, Silla, Camara.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • The match will be played on neutral ground, which significantly reduces the usual home advantage for both sides.
  • Guinea are unbeaten in their last seven matches and come into this game following a 2-2 draw with Togo.
  • The teams last met in 2019, when Benin beat their opponents twice.

Prediction

Stylistically, this looks like a match where one team won’t want to take risks and the other won’t get much space to play their game. Guinea will try to dictate the tempo, but Benin know how to slow things down and force a scrappy scenario. Against this backdrop, the most convincing bet is “Benin not to lose and total goals under 3.5.”

Prediction on game Guinea Win or Draw & Total under 3.5
Odds: 1.85
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