Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 8 January 2026

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England, London, Emirates Stadium

The headline clash of Premier League Matchweek 21 will take place on Thursday at the Emirates Stadium in London, where Arsenal host reigning champions Liverpool. Here’s my pick for the outcome of this much-anticipated showdown, taking into account both teams’ current form and head-to-head statistics.

Match preview

The Gunners kicked off 2026 with a dramatic comeback against Bournemouth, overturning a 0-1 deficit to claim a spirited 3-2 victory. That marked Mikel Arteta’s seventh consecutive win, with his side firmly holding onto top spot and showing maturity in tackling any on-field challenge. Even when Arsenal aren’t at their best, they know how to grind out results—a true hallmark of a title-chasing team.

The Emirates has long become a true fortress for Arsenal: 14 wins in their last 15 home matches speak for themselves. New heroes are emerging too—Declan Rice netted his first Premier League brace, while Bukayo Saka could make history if he scores in a fourth consecutive home league match against Liverpool.

As for Liverpool, after four straight wins the Reds have hit a snag, drawing with Leeds and Fulham, and dropping points in the dying minutes last time out. Liverpool’s problems are becoming clear: a lack of attacking depth, fatigue, and injuries to key players. Without Salah and Isak, and with Wirtz not fully fit, the team is losing its cutting edge and reliability.

Yes, Arne Slot’s side are unbeaten in nine matches, but that streak is starting to look increasingly fragile. The earlier momentum has faded, and the title race could slip away for good on Thursday—a defeat at the Emirates would make the gap to the leaders almost insurmountable.

Probable lineups

  • Arsenal: Raya, Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié, Ødegaard, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Gyökeres, Trossard
  • Liverpool: Alisson, Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Jones, Gakpo

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Arsenal have won 12 consecutive home games and could beat the reigning champions at home for a third time in a row for the first time in 60 years.
  • Liverpool haven’t won at the Emirates in their last three visits.
  • Bukayo Saka could become the first Arsenal player to score in four straight Premier League home matches against Liverpool.

Prediction

Both teams are highly motivated, but they’re in very different rhythms. Arsenal are playing with confidence and dominating at home, while Liverpool are struggling with squad depth and mentality. Everything points to the Gunners extending their winning run and tightening their grip at the top.

Prediction on game Win Arsenal
Odds: 1.65
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