Arsenal — Chelsea Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 3 February 2026
On February 3, 2026, in the second leg semi-finals of the EFL Cup, Arsenal will host Chelsea. The match is scheduled to kick off at 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Arsenal
Arsenal have recovered after their defeat to Manchester United two rounds ago, which was their first home loss of the Premier League season. After that match, Arsenal played in the Champions League and beat Kairat 3–2. With this win, Arsenal finished the League Phase with a perfect record and advanced to the playoffs from the top position. In their latest Premier League game, Arsenal comfortably defeated Leeds 4–0. This result helped them strengthen their lead at the top of the table. Arsenal are now seven points clear of Aston Villa and Manchester City, although both teams still have games in hand. At home, Arsenal have been very strong this season. They have lost only once at the Emirates in the league — against Manchester United.
This season, Arsenal have already faced Chelsea twice away from home. One match ended with a 3–2 win for Arsenal, while the other finished 1–1. At the Emirates, however, Arsenal have a clear advantage. The Gunners have won four consecutive home matches against Chelsea, keeping clean sheets in three of those games.
Chelsea
Chelsea come into this match in good form, having won their last five matches across all competitions. Two of those victories came in the Champions League, where Chelsea defeated Pafos and Napoli in the final round, finishing sixth overall and securing a place in the playoff stage.
In their most recent Premier League fixture, Chelsea hosted West Ham and claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory. The Blues were trailing 0–2, managed to stage a comeback, and scored the winning goal in the final minutes of the match. Chelsea currently sit fourth in the league table, trailing Arsenal by 13 points. Looking at their away form, Chelsea have won their last three away matches. Overall, they have suffered just one defeat in their last seven away games, recording four wins and two draws during that run.
However, when it comes to head-to-head meetings with Arsenal, Chelsea have struggled. The Blues have not beaten the Gunners for a long time, recording just three draws and seven defeats in their last ten meetings with Arsenal.
Probable Lineups
- Arsenal: Arrizabalaga, White, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis-Skelly, Zubimendi, Rice, Odegaard, Madueke, Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus
- Chelsea: Sanchez, Acheampong, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella, Caicedo, Fernandez, Neto, Palmer, Estevao, Joao Pedro
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- 6 of Arsenal’s last 7 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Chelsea have won in their last 5 matches.
- 6 of Chelsea’s last 8 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- In 11 of Chelsea’s last 13 matches, both teams scored.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
- In 5 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings, both teams scored.
- The first leg between the teams ended with a 3–2 win for Arsenal.
Arsenal — Chelsea Prediction
Both teams come into this match in very good form. Despite a recent home defeat to Manchester United, Arsenal continue to perform confidently across all competitions. The team look consistent, are strong at home, score regularly, and remain unbeaten in their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Chelsea. Chelsea are also in good shape. The Blues have won five matches in a row, moved up to fourth place in the Premier League, and secured qualification for the Champions League round of 16. The first meeting between the sides ended in a 3–2 win for Arsenal, and Chelsea will be motivated to end their poor head-to-head run and respond after that defeat. With Chelsea’s current form and motivation, combined with Arsenal’s strong home performances and dominance in recent meetings, this game should be competitive and entertaining, with both teams likely to find the net. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.7.
