Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
On March 25, 2025, the Nelson Mandela National Stadium in Kampala will host the 6th round of the World Cup qualifiers where the national teams of Uganda and Guinea will clash. We're betting on goals in this match.
Preview
Uganda approaches the 6th round match with a challenging tournament situation. Having collected 6 points in five matches, the team is in fifth place in Group G, trailing by one point from the third position. In this campaign, the "Cranes" managed to secure only two narrow victories against Botswana and Somalia, while all other matches were lost. The latest defeat to Mozambique (1-3) further complicated the team's position and jeopardized their chances of advancing from the group.
The upcoming home match against Guinea is of critical importance for Uganda. A victory would allow the team to re-enter the fight for the top spots and maintain hope for qualification. However, any loss of points will practically eliminate the "Cranes" from the path to the World Cup.
Guinea occupies third place with 7 points and views the upcoming match as an opportunity to strengthen their position. Despite their modest scoring (4 goals in 5 matches), the team demonstrates reliable defense. However, to maintain a chance to fight for advancement from the group, they need to take maximum points in matches against direct competitors.
The last match with Somalia left an unpleasant aftertaste—a surprising goalless draw with the group's clear outsider could cost Guinea dearly. This result complicated the qualification task and increased the gap with the leaders to 5 points. Now the visitors are forced to play with increased motivation, as another loss of points could ultimately knock them out of contention for advancing from the group.
Probable lineups
- Uganda: Watenga, Semakula, Mugabi, Capradossi, Bwomono, Kayondo, Aucho, Okello, Shaban, Ssemugabi, Kabuye
- Guinea: S. Sylla, D. Sylla, Diakhaby, Camara, I. Sylla, Camara, Toure, Kamano, Balde, Cisse, Guirassy
Match facts and H2H
- Before the last match, Uganda had a streak of three consecutive narrow victories.
- In the last 9 matches, Uganda failed to score in only one.
- Before the last game, three consecutive Guinea matches had the "Over 2.5 goals" bet win.
- In the first round, Guinea defeated Uganda at home with a score of 2-1.
Prediction
Both teams approach the match with a clear goal – to take three points and keep their chances of fighting for advancement from the group alive. A draw in this meeting is more likely to benefit the two leaders – Algeria and Mozambique, who will face each other in this round. In their head-to-head, one of them will inevitably drop points, and possibly both, giving the pursuers a chance to close the gap. Expecting a tense and uncompromising spectacle, I suggest betting on "total over 1.5" with odds of 1.59
