Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 21.05.2026

Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Olimpia Olimpia
Copa Sudamericana (Round 5) 20 may 2026, 18:00
Finished
3 : 1
International,
Mateo Gamarra
67'
Hugo Sandoval
85'
Carlos Ferreira
90' + 4
45' + 4
Carlos Cuesta

One of the marquee clashes of the South American Cup group stage will unfold at Olimpia’s home ground in Asunción, as the Paraguayan side hosts Brazil’s Vasco da Gama. Both teams are level at seven points atop the group, making this encounter potentially decisive in the battle for first place ahead of the final matchday.

Olimpia

Olimpia enter the match in a fighting, if not flawless, form: the team alternates strong spells with lapses, but at home they remain a formidable opponent. The Paraguayans are unbeaten in their last ten home fixtures, and their overall unbeaten run in Asunción now stands at 15 games.

After a painful 0-3 defeat to Vasco da Gama, the team bounced back with a crucial away win over Barracas Central (2-1), followed by a 3-2 victory over Recoleta in the Paraguayan league. In between, though, there was a 1-1 draw with Sportivo Ameliano and a 0-1 loss to Sportivo San Lorenzo — highlighting Olimpia’s ongoing struggle for consistency.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama have shown more stability in recent results and have already proven they can handle Olimpia effectively. In their first head-to-head, the Brazilians cruised to a 3-0 win and currently lead the group thanks to a superior goal difference.

Renato Portaluppi’s side is gradually becoming more cohesive, but their away form still leaves questions. After back-to-back wins over Audax Italiano (2-1) and Athletico Paranaense (1-0), they were held to a 2-2 draw by Paysandu and then suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat to Internacional, once again exposing defensive frailties.

Probable lineups

  • Olimpia: Goleiro, S. Lentinelly, B. Bentaberry, A. Rodriguez, R. Caceres, E. Eduardo, H. Quintana, J. Alfaro, R. Lezcano, A. Alcaraz, R. Benitez
  • Vasco da Gama: Léo Jardim, Puma Rodriguez, Carlos Cuesta, Kauan Barros, Lucas Piton, Hugo Moura, Thiago Mendes, Tchê Tchê, Adson, Gomes, Spinelli.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Olimpia are unbeaten in 15 consecutive home games, making the Asunción factor a key argument in favour of the hosts.
  • Vasco da Gama have won just two of their last ten away matches, with six draws and two defeats.
  • The first group-stage meeting ended in a convincing 3-0 win for Vasco da Gama over Olimpia.

Prediction

Olimpia suffered a heavy blow in their first meeting with Vasco, but the script is likely to be very different at home. The Paraguayans are traditionally much stronger in Asunción — they battle harder for loose balls, engage more aggressively in duels, and know how to turn home games into a gritty test of character for any visitor. Vasco, meanwhile, are dangerous thanks to their superior attacking unit and have already shown they can breach Olimpia’s defence, but their away inconsistency and the recent collapse against Internacional mean the visitors’ chances should be treated with caution.

Prediction on game Win Olimpia
Odds: 1.89
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4.95
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