Beşiktaş are gathering momentum: prediction for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor - 11.09.2026
On Friday, September 11, 2026, Beşiktaş will host Erzurumspor at Tüpraş Stadium in the fifth round of the Turkish Süper Lig. The match kicks off at 20:00 local time. The Istanbul giants approach the fixture after three wins in their opening four league games, while the visitors have collected only four points since returning to the top flight.
Beşiktaş: Italiano's attack is beginning to click
Vincenzo Italiano's side had a slightly uneven start to the league season, beating Eyüpspor 1-0 before suffering a 1-0 defeat away to Alanyaspor. Their response, however, has been impressive. Beşiktaş demolished Çorum FK 6-2 at home and then secured a morale-boosting 2-1 derby victory away to Fenerbahçe. They have therefore scored eight goals across their last two Süper Lig matches.
Dusan Vlahovic has been at the heart of that improvement. The Serbian striker scored a hat-trick against Çorum and followed it up with the winning goal against Fenerbahçe. Around him, Vaclav Cerny and Leandro Trossard give Beşiktaş additional quality between the lines and from wide areas, while Orkun Kökçü remains one of the key figures in controlling the tempo from midfield.
The derby performance was particularly encouraging because Beşiktaş had to come from behind. Rıdvan Yılmaz equalised before Vlahovic completed the turnaround, and Italiano's team looked increasingly comfortable as the match progressed. With two home league games already producing two victories and seven goals, Beşiktaş have every reason to take the initiative again.
Erzurumspor: the first victory does not erase the early problems
Erzurumspor returned to the Süper Lig after winning the 1. Lig last season and kept Serkan Özbalta in charge, but the step up in quality has already been evident. They opened the campaign with a 3-0 defeat at Amedspor and were then beaten 4-0 at home by Galatasaray. A 1-1 draw against Gençlerbirliği brought their first point before Eren Tozlu's goal earned a 1-0 victory over Konyaspor in the fourth round.
That first win should improve confidence, but the overall numbers remain worrying ahead of a trip to Istanbul. Erzurumspor have scored only two goals and conceded eight in four league matches. Against Konyaspor, Özbalta relied on a compact five-man defensive structure, with Eren Tozlu operating as the reference point in attack. A similarly deep approach is likely against Beşiktaş.
The problem is that defending close to their own penalty area for long periods against the Black Eagles carries obvious risks. Beşiktaş now have several players capable of deciding episodes individually, while Erzurumspor have already suffered heavy defeats when facing opponents able to sustain pressure and attack with greater quality.
Probable lineups
- Beşiktaş: Alexander Nübel, Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Emirhan Topçu, Rıdvan Yılmaz, Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü, Junior Olaitan, Vaclav Cerny, Leandro Trossard, Dusan Vlahovic.
- Erzurumspor: Ertuğrul Taşkıran, Orhan Ovacıklı, Amar Gerxhaliu, Mustafa Yumlu, Nihad Mujakic, Guram Giorbelidze, Brandon Baiye, Elisha Owusu, Martin Rodriguez, Mustafa Fettahoğlu, Eren Tozlu.
Match facts and head-to-heads
- Beşiktaş have won both of their Süper Lig home matches this season.
- The Black Eagles have scored eight goals in their last two league games.
- Erzurumspor have scored only twice and conceded eight goals in four rounds.
- Beşiktaş are unbeaten in their four previous Süper Lig meetings with Erzurumspor, recording three wins and one draw.
- The most recent league meeting in Istanbul ended in a 4-0 Beşiktaş victory.
The difference in attacking quality should show: Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor prediction
Erzurumspor's victory over Konyaspor showed that the promoted side can stay compact and protect a narrow lead, but the challenge at Tüpraş Stadium is significantly more demanding. The visitors have already conceded seven goals in two defeats this season, and their limited attacking output makes it difficult to see them relieving pressure consistently if Beşiktaş establish control.
Italiano's team, meanwhile, arrive with momentum after scoring six against Çorum and then winning a derby away to Fenerbahçe. Vlahovic is in excellent scoring form, the supporting attack is producing more danger, and Beşiktaş have enough individual quality to turn territorial dominance into several clear chances. Against an Erzurumspor side likely to defend very deep, the hosts should eventually create enough openings to win by a comfortable margin.
Prediction: Beşiktaş (-1.5) handicap.
