Necaxa vs Pachuca prediction, H2H and probable lineups - April 12, 2025
On April 12, 2025, the 15th round of the Mexican Liga MX will feature a clash between Necaxa and Pachuca at the Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes. I propose a rather risky bet on this match, but with excellent odds.
Necaxa
Necaxa is in fourth place in the standings, trailing the Liga MX leaders, América and Toluca, by just three points. Securing a spot in the top six guarantees the team direct qualification to the playoff stage and a continued fight for the championship trophy. Clubs finishing seventh to tenth will play three playoff matches among themselves, determining two more participants for the quarter-finals.
With only three rounds remaining in the regular season, a victory in the upcoming match will likely secure Necaxa a spot in the top six. The team's form is impressive: they have won their last three matches consecutively. A noteworthy feature of Necaxa's season is that the team has not drawn a single match, alternating between winning and losing streaks. This unpredictable yet determined style adds extra intrigue to matches involving Necaxa.
Pachuca
In the last seven rounds, Pachuca has secured three wins, three draws, and suffered one loss. This positive momentum has lifted the team to seventh place in the standings. They trail the leaders by six points and are just three points away from the coveted top-six zone. The upcoming match provides Pachuca with a real chance to close the gap and fight for a direct playoff spot, avoiding the added pressure of play-in matches.
However, the team's away form raises serious doubts about these prospects. In their last four away games, Pachuca has managed to earn just one point, drawing with Xerez (2-2). Despite fierce competition, the other three matches ended in narrow defeats. This instability on the road questions the team's ability to capitalize on the opportunity at the season's end.
Probable lineups
- Necaxa: Unsaín, Lara, Peña, Mayorga, Rosero, De Buen, Palavecino, Palma, Paradola, Badaloni, Pérez
- Pachuca: Moreno, Berlanga, Eduardo Baur, Aceves, Josabed, Pedraza, Montil, Idrissi, John Kennedy, Sigala, Rondón
Match facts and H2H
- Necaxa scores in every home match this season.
- Pachuca has also consistently scored in away games.
- The "both teams to score" bet has come through in Pachuca's last four away matches.
- Necaxa has kept a clean sheet only once in home matches.
- In the last five head-to-head encounters, Pachuca has won three times, with two draws. In all these games, both teams found the back of the net.
Prediction
Bookmakers are offering a fairly even line for this match, with no clear favorite. However, I suggest taking a risk and betting on a draw. I know Necaxa hasn't shared points with opponents yet this season, but sooner or later, this moment must come.
