Wellington vs Melbourne preview, H2H and probable lineups - April 12, 2025
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
On April 12, 2025, Sky Stadium in Wellington will host a match of the 26th round of the Australian A-League, where Wellington Phoenix will face Melbourne Victory. There are doubts that many goals will be scored in this match.
Wellington
Wellington is showing significant regression compared to previous seasons. For the past three campaigns, the team consistently reached the playoff stage, but in the current season, with four rounds left in the regular championship, Wellington is third from the bottom in the standings, and there are currently no serious prospects for improvement.
Until the last match, the team was in a prolonged series of eight games without a win, during which they managed to earn only four points thanks to draws. In home matches, Wellington adheres to a pragmatic style of play, focusing on defensive reliability, but the team's scoring remains low.
Melbourne
Melbourne is in 5th place in the standings, but only three points separate them from the 7th position. The battle for a place in the top-6 and the playoffs is reaching the final stretch. In the last six rounds, the team has lost only once, earning 11 points during this period. However, away matches are a serious challenge for Melbourne. In the last seven away games, they have achieved only one victory, and have lost four matches.
This situation casts doubt on Melbourne's chances of finishing in the coveted top-6, as two of the remaining four matches will be away, and one of the home games is against the leading Auckland.
Possible lineups
- Wellington: Oluwayemi, Piper, Wootton, Hughes, Payne, Rufer, Sheridan, Sutton, Ishige, Nagasawa, Barbarouses
- Melbourne: Langerak, Inserra, Roderick, Jackson, Boss, Arzani, Monge, Mashash, Velupillay, Piscopo, Fornaroli
Match facts and H2H
- Only in one of the last 5 home matches of Wellington was the bet "Total over 2.5" successful
- This season, Melbourne has earned 12 points away, which is the third worst in the league.
- In the first round match, Melbourne narrowly defeated Wellington at home with a score of 1-0.
- Matches between the teams are rarely high-scoring. In the last 7 meetings, the bet "Total over 2.5" has never won.
Prediction
It will be difficult to give preference to anyone, Melbourne needs the points more, but the team's away form leaves many questions. Therefore, I suggest trusting the statistics and betting on "total under 3.0" with odds of 1.7
