France have won their last six matches against Belgium: prediction for France — Belgium

France vs Belgium prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
UEFA Nations League A (Round 4) 05 oct 2026, 14:45
Finished
4 : 1
International, Saint-Denis, Stade de France
Desire Doue
77'
Rayan Cherki
81'
Michael Olise
88' 90' + 1
35'
Dodi Lukebakio

The UEFA Nations League matchday-four clash between France and Belgium will take place on October 5 at the Stade de France. France have collected seven points from their first three matches and lead the group, while Belgium are just one point behind and could overtake their opponents with a victory.

France: unbeaten under Zidane and pinning their hopes on Olise

Zinedine Zidane's team began the tournament with two 1-0 victories — over Turkey and Belgium — before drawing 1-1 with Italy. As a result, France remain unbeaten under their new head coach.

Kylian Mbappe is sidelined with a knee injury, but the hosts have plenty of attacking options. Michael Olise has already scored two of France's three goals in the current Nations League campaign, while Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue and Rayan Cherki could line up alongside him.

Belgium: a confident win, but two major absences

After beating Italy 2-0 and losing 1-0 to France, Marc van Bommel's side thrashed Turkey 3-0. That result moved Belgium to within one point of the group leaders.

However, the visitors will have to cope without Kevin De Bruyne and Youri Tielemans in Paris, as both are suspended after accumulating yellow cards. This severely limits Belgium's options in midfield and in the creative phase.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • France have not lost any of their three matches in the current Nations League.
  • France have won their last six head-to-head meetings with Belgium.
  • Belgium beat Turkey 3-0 but head into the match without De Bruyne and Tielemans.
  • No more than 2 goals were scored in regular time in 6 of France's last 7 home matches in the Nations League
  • France have not scored more than 2 goals in regular time in their last 8 home matches in the Nations League

The visitors' absences could decide everything: prediction for France — Belgium

Belgium improved after their victory over Turkey and will surely be eager to avenge their 1-0 defeat in Brussels. However, the absence of De Bruyne and Tielemans will seriously affect the quality of their possession and final pass.

France are also without Mbappe, but the depth of their attacking line looks far more convincing. Olise, Dembele and Doue are capable of creating enough chances for the hosts to claim another victory in a closely fought match.

Prediction on game Win France
Odds: 1.6
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