Will Switzerland Continue Their Dominance in Head-to-Head Matches Against Slovenia? Prediction | November 13, 2026
Slovenia will host Switzerland on November 13 in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League League B. The visitors are top of Group 1 with a perfect record and can secure promotion to League A with at least a draw. Slovenia, meanwhile, occupy second place and need points to maintain their advantage over Scotland in the race for the runners-up position.
Slovenia
Slovenia have had a relatively positive Nations League campaign, collecting 7 points from their first four matches. They opened with a draw against Scotland, followed by a 2-0 victory over North Macedonia. Their only defeat came away to Switzerland, where they lost 2-1, but they responded in the previous round by beating Scotland 2-1 at home. Slovenia have scored 5 goals and conceded 3, keeping themselves in second place, three points ahead of Scotland.
However, their attacking statistics suggest that creating clear opportunities has not always been easy. Slovenia have registered 11 shots on target and created just one clear chance in four matches. Their five goals have come from relatively limited attacking output, while their 44.5% average possession shows that they have often had to play without controlling the ball. Their 82% passing accuracy is also considerably below Switzerland's level. Defensively, Slovenia have been more competitive. They have recovered the ball 149 times and made 48 tackles, demonstrating their willingness to work without possession.
The home team's recent record against Switzerland is another concern. Slovenia have failed to score in their last three home meetings with this opponent. Those matches were generally low-scoring, with the latest ending in a goalless draw, while Switzerland won the other two.
- Possible Slovenia lineup: Oblak, Brekalo, Bijol, Drkusic, Kuzmic, Zeljkovic, Cerin, Zabukovnik, Elsnik, Matko, Vipotnik.
Switzerland
Switzerland have been the strongest team in Group 1, winning all four matches and collecting 12 points. They have scored 11 goals and conceded just once, with three of their victories ending 3-0. Their only goal conceded came in the 2-1 win over Slovenia. A draw in the upcoming match would be enough to guarantee first place and promotion to League A.
The visitors have been considerably more productive in attack. They have registered 33 shots on target, three times as many as Slovenia, and scored 11 goals. Their six assists also highlight the quality of their attacking combinations. Switzerland have averaged 61% possession and completed 89.5% of their passes, allowing them to control matches and move the ball forward with greater consistency. Their 170 attacks and 23 corners further underline their ability to put opponents under pressure.
Their defensive record is even more impressive. Switzerland have conceded only three shots on target in four matches and kept three clean sheets. They have also needed just two goalkeeper saves, compared with Slovenia's 17, which illustrates how effectively they have limited opponents' opportunities. Their 47 clearances, against Slovenia's 107, provide further evidence that Switzerland have spent much less time defending close to their own penalty area.
- Possible Switzerland lineup: Kobel, Britschgi, Elvedi, Akanji, Athekame, Freuler, Jashari, Sow, Rieder, Embolo, Ndoye.
Head-to-Head
Switzerland have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Slovenia, while the remaining match ended in a draw. The visitors have therefore avoided defeat in all four encounters. The recent matches on Slovenian soil have been particularly low-scoring, with Slovenia failing to find the net in their last three home meetings.
Key Trends
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in Slovenia's last 5 home matches.
- Switzerland have won their last 4 matches.
- Switzerland scored first in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Switzerland have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with Slovenia.
- Switzerland are unbeaten in their last 4 matches against Slovenia.
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in the last 3 head-to-head matches on Slovenian soil.
Prediction
Switzerland have been more convincing throughout the campaign, combining a productive attack with an exceptionally reliable defence. Their advantage in shots on target, possession and passing accuracy shows that they have been able to control matches and create considerably more opportunities than Slovenia. The hosts have shown enough resilience to remain second in the group, but their limited attacking output could become a problem against such a well-organised opponent. Considering Switzerland's defensive record, Slovenia's limited attacking production and the low-scoring history of their meetings on Slovenian soil, a match with few goals is a reasonable expectation. Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Total Goals
