Who will finish top? Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction, November 14

Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction David Ramos/Getty Images
UEFA Nations League B (Round 5) 14 nov 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Stockholm, Strawberry Arena

On Saturday, November 14, Sweden host Bosnia and Herzegovina at Strawberry Arena in Solna in Matchday 5 of League B in the UEFA Nations League. This is a straight shootout for top spot in the group: neither side has lost in their opening four matches, and a head-to-head win would see the hosts secure promotion to the top tier with a game to spare, while the visitors could take the lead ahead of the final matchday.

Sweden head into this crucial home fixture top of the table, with 10 points from four matches and a goal difference of 7:3. The Blue and Yellow have played balanced, energetic and highly organised football, backed by formidable attacking firepower featuring Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, as well as the return of Dejan Kulusevski. With the home crowd behind them in Solna, Sweden traditionally take the initiative, pressing high and combining at pace through the half-spaces.

Bosnia and Herzegovina sit second in the group, with eight points from four matches (two wins and two draws, with a goal difference of 6:3). The Balkan side are impressively resilient, striking a smart balance between the experience of veterans such as Sead Kolašinac and the energy of their young talent. In October’s home match against Sweden, the Bosnians managed to contain their opponents’ star-studded attack and earned a 1:1 draw, giving the visitors an extra boost of confidence ahead of a tough trip to Scandinavia.

The tactical script is likely to be shaped by Sweden’s territorial dominance. They will look to take control of the ball from the opening minutes, raise the tempo and methodically prise open their opponents’ defence. Bosnia and Herzegovina will respond with a compact mid- and low-block, tight marking on the hosts’ attacking leaders and quick, vertical counterattacks when they win possession.

Prediction

I expect an entertaining, high-scoring game in which both teams showcase their attacking potential. My prediction: over 2.5 goals at 1.6

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.6
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