Who will advance to the quarterfinals of the Brazil Cup? Prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama prediction Photo by Wagner Meier/Getty Images

In the early hours of Thursday, August 6, 2026, at 02:30 Central European Time, the legendary Maracanã will host the second leg of the 2026 Brazil Cup round of 16: Fluminense welcomes Vasco da Gama.

The first cup clash, held on August 1, ended in a goalless draw—0-0. This makes the situation ahead of the return leg crystal clear: the winner moves on to the quarterfinals, while another draw after 90 minutes will send the tie straight to a penalty shootout.

It’s worth noting that these teams have become very familiar rivals this season: in the Carioca Championship, Fluminense edged past Vasco da Gama over two legs (1-0 and 1-1), Vasco came out on top in Serie A (3-2), and their first cup meeting ended in a stalemate (0-0).

Fluminense

The Tricolor dominated the first cup match but couldn’t break down Vasco’s deep defensive block. This time, though, Fluminense will have the home advantage and the roaring support of the Maracanã faithful behind them.

Striker John Kennedy is in sensational form (14 goals this 2026 season), while the creative trio of Luciano Acosta, Savarino, and Canobbio can pile on the pressure from the opening whistle. The main task for the hosts is to avoid rushing things: the desire for an early goal shouldn’t leave them exposed at the back.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama approached the first leg with clinical pragmatism, successfully neutralizing Fluminense’s key threats. Keeper Léo Jardim and central defenders (Cuesta and Renan) showed excellent chemistry and discipline.

The visitors’ game plan won’t change for the return fixture: absorb Fluminense’s early pressure, disrupt the rhythm with tactical fouls in midfield, and look for opportunities through the pace of David and Andrés Gómez.

Probable lineups

  • Fluminense: Fábio - Guga, Ignácio, Rabello, Arana - Martinelli, Hércules, Acosta - Canobbio, Savarino, John Kennedy
  • Vasco da Gama: Jardim - Henrique, Cuesta, Renan, Cuiabano - Tché Tché, Jair, Mendes - David, Gómez, Brenner

Prediction

A packed Maracanã, superior technical attacking quality, and a deeper bench should tip the scales in the second half. My prediction: Fluminense to win.

Prediction on game Win Fluminense
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