Wales (W) vs Netherlands (W) prediction, H2H and probable lineups - July 5, 2025
Wales
Netherlands
One of the group stage clashes at the UEFA Women's Euro 2025 will see Wales take on the Netherlands on July 5 in Lucerne. I'm backing a bet on goals here, with strong odds considering the gulf in class and the attacking firepower of the Oranje.
Match preview
This is a historic moment for Wales, as they've qualified for the European Championship for the first time ever, battling through qualification and two tense playoff rounds. Rhian Wilkinson's squad have made huge strides, defeating Slovakia in extra time and overcoming Ireland on aggregate to become one of the tournament's two debutants.
However, Wales have landed in the so-called "group of death" alongside the Netherlands, France, and England—every match will be a true test of their mettle. Recent months have been tough: Wales were relegated from Nations League Group A, picking up just two points in six matches. The absence of key defender Maisie Davies and the limited fitness of Sophie Ingle further deplete the lineup.
The Netherlands arrive in Switzerland as tournament favorites and seasoned campaigners on the international stage. They qualified automatically and are aiming to recapture the glory of 2017, when they lifted the trophy on home soil.
Under Andries Jonker, the Dutch play a balanced brand of football, spearheaded by a potent attack led by Vivianne Miedema, who is on the verge of her 100th international goal. A friendly win over Finland and their consistency in the Nations League only strengthen the case for the Oranje—not just as favorites in this match, but as contenders for the entire tournament.
Probable lineups
- Wales (W): Clark, Green, Ladd, Evans, Woodham, James, Griffiths, Holland, Rowe, Jones, Cain
- Netherlands (W): Van Domselaar, Casparij, Janssen, Boor man, Brugts, Groenen, Kaptein, Pelova, Van de Donk, Roord, Miedema
Match facts and head-to-head
- Wales have lost all four previous meetings with the Netherlands.
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last six Women's Euro group stage matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- This will be Wales' first appearance at a major international tournament in the team's history.
Prediction
The difference in class and experience is clear. Wales come into this match with no pressure but also without major ambitions, while the Netherlands will be determined to get their playoff campaign off to a confident start. The value here is on "Over 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.65.
