Hammarby vs Värnamo prediction, H2H and probable lineups – 5 July 2025
One of the matches of the 14th round of the Swedish championship will see Hammarby host Värnamo on July 5 at the Tele2 Arena in Stockholm. Here’s a value bet suggestion for this clash with an attractive odds.
Match preview
Hammarby, one of the main title contenders, is having an impressive season. The team sits second in the table with 30 points from 14 rounds, just one point behind league leaders Mjällby. Kim Hellberg’s men are in excellent form, riding a three-game winning streak with victories over Degerfors (1-0), Elfsborg (2-0), and Halmstad (2-0).
The Green and Whites are especially dangerous at home—six wins in eight matches speak for themselves. Up front, the experienced Nahir Besara stands out with seven goals and one assist, while young Yusef Erabi leads the line with four goals to his name. The squad boasts a clean bill of health and exudes confidence in every department.
Värnamo is enduring a nightmare season and currently sits rock bottom with a catastrophic four points from 13 games. Arne Sandstø’s side has yet to register a single win, losing nine times and drawing four. The gap to safety has already stretched to nine points from the 14th spot.
Their away form is dire—just one point from six road games and 13 goals conceded. Despite some recent progress (drawing with Elfsborg and Öster), Värnamo remains the prime relegation candidate. The main attacking threat is Johnbosco Kalu, who has two goals in 13 matches—clearly not enough to spark a turnaround.
Probable lineups
- Hammarby: Hahn, Skoglund, Vagic, Eriksson, Pinas, Karlsson, Tekie, Besara, Majed, Erabi, Tuneh
- Värnamo: Keto, Larsson, Mohammed, Grozdanic, Björnström, Johansson, Le Roux, Junior, Bilalovic, Kalu, Thörn
Match facts and head-to-head
- Hammarby have won 6 of their 8 home matches this season, collecting 19 points.
- Värnamo are the only team in the league yet to record a win.
- In their last head-to-head in August 2024, Hammarby beat Värnamo 3-0.
Prediction
Hammarby are in great form and highly motivated in the title race. Värnamo look utterly toothless in attack and frail at the back, especially away from home. Our recommended bet: Hammarby to win with a -1.0 handicap at odds of 1.60.