Uzbekistan vs Qatar prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 10 June 2025

Uzbekistan vs Qatar prediction Photo: sportsboom.com / Author unknown
Finished
3 : 0
International,
Azizbek Turgunbaev
28'
Eldor Shomurodov
86'
Igor Sergeev
90'

The national teams of Uzbekistan and Qatar will clash this Tuesday at the Bunyodkor Arena in Tashkent as part of the 10th round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. I’m backing a bet on goals in this encounter, with an enticing odds offer.

Match preview

Uzbekistan have finally achieved their long-sought goal — a historic first-ever World Cup berth is now a reality. Srecko Katanec’s men enter the final round of qualification free from pressure, as their goalless draw with the UAE in the previous round (0-0) sealed their ticket to the big stage. The team has displayed mature, organized football, with a primary focus on rock-solid defending.

In attack, the Uzbeks are somewhat more modest — most of their final-third play relies heavily on Shomurodov. Overall, since autumn 2023, they have suffered just a single defeat in regular time, underlining the squad’s stability and tactical clarity. Facing Qatar offers a chance to cap off this landmark campaign in style.

Qatar’s motivation in this qualifying campaign faded even before the coaching change. The team lost their direct shot at the 2026 World Cup early, and now, under Julen Lopetegui, they are preparing for the next phase of rebuilding. Their 2-1 win over Iran in the previous round was a rare bright spot, but overall results remain unconvincing: just 2 wins in their last 7 matches.

The team’s attacking potential could be a catalyst — they average 1.7 goals per game, especially with Almoez Ali and Afif still capable of making a difference in key moments. However, the defense leaves much to be desired — conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Facing Uzbekistan, a team with whom Qatar has unfinished business, could serve as a litmus test for the team’s progress under the new coach.

Probable lineups

  • Uzbekistan: Yusupov, Ashurmatov, Khusanov, Alikulov, Sayfiev, Masharipov, Urunov, Shukurov, Khamrobekov, Alijonov, Shomurodov
  • Qatar: Barsham, Ahmed, Salman, Khoukhi, Ro-Ro, Madibo, Boudiaf, Edmilson Junior, Afif, Al-Jahni, Ali

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Uzbekistan have lost just one match in regular time over the past eighteen months.
  • Qatar have won only two of their last seven encounters.
  • The last two meetings between these sides went Qatar’s way, but Uzbekistan had won the previous three.

Prediction

Both teams have already accomplished their main objectives in this qualifying phase: Uzbekistan are celebrating their World Cup debut, while Qatar have begun preparations for the next qualifying cycle. With no desperate need for points, a cautious, risk-averse game is likely. Our prediction: "Total under 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.78.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.78
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