Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and probable line-ups - May 25, 2025

Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 38) 25 may 2025, 14:45
Finished
2 : 3
Italy, Udine, Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Lorenzo Lucca
26'
Christian Kabasele
61'
46'
Nicolo Fagioli
57'
Pietro Comuzzo
82'
Moise Kean

One of the clashes of Serie A's 38th matchday will take place on Sunday at the Friuli stadium, where the local side Udinese will host Fiorentina. I'm backing a bet on goals in this encounter, with strong chances for success.

Match preview

In the previous round, under the guidance of Kosta Runjaić, Udinese suffered a 0-2 away defeat to Juventus. This marked their seventh loss in the last nine Serie A matches, with just one win and one draw during that stretch. It's particularly notable that in six of those nine games, Udinese failed to find the back of the net. In the league standings, the club sits 12th with 44 points and cannot drop lower, but still has a chance to climb to 11th.

On home turf, Udinese has faced significant struggles — the team has failed to win 10 of their last 13 Serie A matches at the Friuli, with seven defeats and three draws in that span. This run highlights the club's home woes and the urgent need to improve results to solidify their place in mid-table.

Last time out, under Raffaele Palladino, Fiorentina grabbed a 3-2 home victory over Bologna. That win snapped a two-game losing streak and was their first in the last eight outings where the side scored more than two goals. However, defensive issues remain a concern for the Viola — they have now conceded in five consecutive Serie A matches. The club currently sits seventh with 62 points and retains a real chance of European qualification, provided they win their remaining games and Lazio stumbles.

Fiorentina's away form leaves much to be desired: in six of their last seven trips, they've failed to win, picking up just one draw and suffering five defeats. This poor record significantly complicates their quest for a European spot, where every victory is crucial.

Probable line-ups

  • Udinese: Maduka Okoye – Thomas Kristensen, Christian Kabasele, Umar Solet – Hassane Kamara, Jesper Karlström, Sandi Lovrić, Oier Zarraga, Kingsley Ehizibue – Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Keinan Davis
  • Fiorentina: David De Gea – Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Pablo Marí, Fabiano Parisi – Dodô, Rolando Mandragora, Amir Richardson, Nicolò Fagioli, Robin Gosens – Moise Kean

Match facts and head-to-head

  • In the first half of the season, Udinese beat Fiorentina 1-0 away
  • The "Over 2.5 goals" bet has landed in the last two meetings between these teams
  • The "Both teams to score" option has won in two of the last five matches

Prediction

Udinese continues to struggle up front, particularly at home, where they barely threaten opposing goals. Fiorentina also lacks firepower on the road, so a cautious game with few goals is likely. My prediction: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.95
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4.93
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