Toluca vs Pachuca prediction, H2H and probable lineups — March 30, 2025
Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
Translated by the editors
On March 30, 2025, at the Nemesio Diez Stadium in Toluca, matchday 13 of the Mexican Liga MX will feature a clash between Toluca and Pachuca. I suggest betting on goals in this encounter.
Preview
Toluca holds the 4th spot in the standings, just one victory away from leading America. Over the last six matches, the team has amassed 15 points, securing five victories. The only defeat in this stretch came in an away game against America (0-3), marking just their second loss in the current championship — previously, the team fell to Mazatlan on the road (1-2). At their home stadium, Toluca showcases an almost impeccable record, dropping points only once, in a draw with Monterrey at the start of the season.
Pachuca is positioned 7th, trailing the league leader by 6 points. The team is in good shape, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. However, away games continue to pose challenges — Pachuca has been unable to secure a victory on foreign soil for three consecutive rounds.
Probable lineups
- Toluca: Lopez, Briseno, Mendes, Pereira, Dominguez, Herrera, Ruiz, Violante, Morales, Paulinho, Vega
- Pachuca: Moreno, Rodriguez, Bauermann, Aceves, Gonzalez, Khomchenko, Montiel, Gonzalez, Kennedy, Idrissi, Rondon
Match facts and H2H
- Currently, Toluca boasts the most prolific attack in the league, scoring 30 goals in 12 matches — an average of 2.5 goals per game.
- Toluca's last three league matches have been high-scoring, with the "Over 2.5 goals" bet winning in each case.
- The "Both teams to score" bet has come through in Pachuca's last 9 matches.
- In their last four head-to-head encounters, Toluca has dominated, winning three and drawing one.
- However, at home, Toluca struggles against Pachuca — in the last five home meetings, they have won only once, with the visitors prevailing in the other four matches.
Prediction
Predicting the winner of this match is challenging. The history of encounters at Toluca's field suggests difficulties for the hosts against Pachuca, yet the current form of the teams clearly favors Toluca. In such a scenario, it's wise not to take risks — the optimal choice seems to be the "both teams to score" bet at odds of 1.53.
