Tijuana vs Necaxa prediction, H2H and probable lineups - April 5, 2025
One of the matches of the 14th round of the Mexican Championship will take place on Saturday at the "Caliente" stadium, where local Tijuana will host Necaxa. I suggest betting on goals in this clash with good chances of success.
Match preview
Tijuana is having a disastrous stretch of the season, stuck in the lower part of the Mexican Championship standings. After 13 rounds, the team languishes in 16th place with only 10 points. The victory in the previous round against Monterrey (2-1), which came as a surprise to most experts, did not significantly change the overall picture. The main problem for Tijuana is their dismal defense, which has already conceded 32 goals in the current championship. One victory in the last five matches is little consolation for the fans.
The home stadium has also ceased to be an advantage for Tijuana: the team has suffered three defeats in the last five matches at their arena. The defense regularly cracks, having conceded 12 goals at home during this period. A flash amidst the gloomy series was the home victory over Pumas (4-2), but this is just an episode that cannot change the overall unsuccessful trend.
Necaxa, on the other hand, looks convincing this season and confidently holds onto the group of leaders, occupying the sixth position with 24 points. The team demonstrates stability, confirmed by three victories in the last five matches. In particular, Leon (2-1), Queretaro (2-0), and Mazatlan (3-1) recently fell under the team's steamroller. Even a painful defeat to Toluca (2-5) did not knock the team out of rhythm, and Necaxa continues to confidently move towards its goal of securing a playoff spot.
Away matches are also not a hindrance for Necaxa: three victories in the last five away games speak for themselves. Particularly notable are the successes in matches against Atletico San Luis (3-0), a powerful victory in a spectacular game against America (3-2), and the thrashing of Atlas (4-0). This underscores the excellent form of the team and its potential, allowing them to count on points even away from home fans.
Probable lineups
- Tijuana: Rodriguez, Fernandez, Poroso, Arteta, Gomez, Alvarez, Tona, Boya, Moga, Zuniga, Castaneda
- Necaxa: Hernandez, Manzanares, Russo, Dominguez, Moreno, Rodriguez, Escamilla, Lertora, Perez, Hernandez, Cisneros
Match facts and head-to-head
- Last season, the teams exchanged away victories in the championship
- The "both teams to score" bet has won in the last seven meetings between these opponents
- The "Over 2.5 goals" option has hit in the last three matches
Prediction
Bookmakers evaluate the chances of the opponents in this match with roughly equal odds. Considering the statistics of the recent encounters between these teams, we suggest taking "Over 3.0 goals" at 1.75.
