Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
Tigres
Necaxa
On May 12, 2025, at 05:10 CET, the second leg of the Liga MX playoff quarterfinals will see Tigres host Necaxa. Let's break down the best bet for this high-stakes showdown.
Tigres
Tigres come into this match in solid form. The team finished fourth in the league with 33 points, scoring 24 goals and conceding just 14. Across their last nine matches in all competitions, Tigres have suffered only one defeat, with five draws and three wins. Their defensive organization has been a highlight: during this stretch, they've conceded just six goals, with four matches ending in 0-0 stalemates. On home turf, Tigres are unbeaten in seven consecutive games, racking up six wins and a draw.
It's also worth noting their impressive run in the CONCACAF Champions Cup, where Tigres reached the semifinals before bowing out to Cruz Azul over two legs.
Against Necaxa, Tigres have been dominant: in their last five head-to-head encounters, they've claimed four victories and drawn once.
Necaxa
Necaxa finished the season in fifth place with 31 points. The team has been prolific in attack, netting 36 goals—the second-best tally in the league. However, their defense has been suspect, conceding 29 goals, one of the poorest records among all playoff teams.
Necaxa are unbeaten in their last three matches, picking up one win and two draws. On the road, they've also looked strong: in their last five away games, they have three wins, one draw, and just one loss.
Yet, Necaxa's away record against Tigres remains dismal. In their last nine visits to Tigres, they've failed to win—suffering six defeats and drawing three times.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Tigres have won 6 of their last 8 home matches.
- Tigres are unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Necaxa are unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Tigres have won 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
- The first leg between these teams ended in a 0-0 draw.
Probable lineups
- Tigres: Guzmán, Angulo, Loroña, Sánchez, Aquino, Vigón Cham, Brunetta, Gorriarán, Lainez, Ibañez, Córdoba.
- Necaxa: Unsain, Lara, Peña, Mayorga, Rojas, Rodríguez, Palavecino, Rosero, Pérez, Paradela, Abonia.
Tigres vs Necaxa match prediction
Tigres approach the second leg of the quarterfinals in strong form and look superior to Necaxa both in terms of quality and results. Their home record is impressive, with seven unbeaten matches in a row, and they've dominated their recent head-to-heads against Necaxa—winning six of the last seven. Tigres are solid at the back and know how to dictate the tempo. This return leg promises tension and excitement, but the hosts look better equipped for the fight for a semifinal spot. My pick for this match: Tigres to win at odds of 1.92.
