The hosts’ crisis and the visitors’ form point to a balanced game: Napoli vs. Bodø/Glimt prediction

SSC Napoli vs Bodoe/Glimt prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Champions League (Round 3) 20 oct 2026, 15:00
Finished
4 : 3
International, Naples, Diego Armando Maradona
Matteo Politano
1'
Scott McTominay
41' 75'
Odin Luraas Bjoertuft
88' (OG)
27'
Jens Petter Hauge
62'
Andreas Helmersen
90' + 4
Sondre Brunstad Fet

The Matchday 3 fixture of the Champions League league phase between Napoli and Bodø/Glimt will take place on October 20, 2026, at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. The Italians remain without a point after two matches and head into the game amid an extremely poor start to the season, while the Norwegians have already beaten Borussia Dortmund and are currently on a three-match winning streak in all competitions.

Napoli: pressure mounting after a run of failures

Massimiliano Allegri’s side have lost both of their opening Champions League matches. Napoli first fell 0-1 to Arsenal before suffering a 1-3 defeat against Villarreal, despite taking the lead through Amir Rrahmani in the eighth minute. For Allegri, this continues an unpleasant trend: he has lost eight of his last nine Champions League matches, while the team itself failed to advance from the league phase last season.

The situation domestically is no better. Napoli have suffered five defeats in their first nine competitive matches of the season, marking the club’s worst start in 25 years. In the last round, the Neapolitans suffered a shock 0-1 defeat to bottom side Venezia, with Kevin De Bruyne missing a penalty. The hosts now badly need to respond, while Rasmus Højlund’s return to the starting lineup should add more cutting edge up front.

Bodø/Glimt: confidence after victory over Dortmund

Kjetil Knutsen’s team have shown considerably better momentum in their recent results. After a heavy 0-5 defeat to Bayern Munich on Matchday 1, the Norwegians quickly bounced back and beat Borussia Dortmund 1-0 in their second Champions League match. That victory was their sixth consecutive home win in European competition and once again showed that Bodø/Glimt can compete with more highly rated opponents.

Their overall European form is impressive as well: the Norwegians have won nine of their last 13 international matches and lost only two. However, the team has a weakness away from home — they have conceded in 17 consecutive European matches on the road. Even so, the visitors’ current sharpness, freshness and consistency make it reasonable to expect them to score in Naples as well.

Match facts and head-to-head meetings

  • Napoli have lost both of their opening Champions League matches.
  • Bodø/Glimt have won nine of their last 13 European matches.
  • The Norwegians have conceded in their last 17 away matches in European competition.

The visitors can exploit the hosts’ crisis: Napoli vs. Bodø/Glimt prediction

Napoli have home advantage and will surely be highly motivated, as a third consecutive setback would seriously complicate their position in the competition. However, the hosts’ current form is too unstable, while poor finishing and frequent mistakes in key moments make it difficult to consider them clear favorites.

Bodø/Glimt head into the match with far greater confidence and have already shown that they can punish top clubs for lapses in concentration. At the same time, the Norwegians’ vulnerability away from home gives the hosts a good chance of scoring. The most logical outcome looks like both teams finding the net and the points being shared.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.55
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