David Flower
Dailysports's expert
Betting Bonus up to $/€ 122
One of the matches of the first round of the Copa Sudamericana group stage will be played on Thursday in Asunción, where local team Sportivo Luqueño will host Grêmio at the Defensores del Chaco stadium. I suggest a bet on the outcome of this clash with a good odds.
Match Preview
In the Copa Sudamericana qualifiers, Paraguayan side Sportivo Luqueño faced Ameliano and secured a 2-0 victory. However, in the Paraguayan league, the team has started poorly and currently occupies the last place in the standings. In 11 rounds, the team has managed only two wins against five losses.
As a result, they are already 17 points behind league leaders Libertad, but only nine points separate Sportivo Luqueño from the second spot. In the last round, Sportivo Luqueño played an away match against Ameliano, which ended in a 2-2 draw. Prior to that, the team hosted Guarani at home and suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat.
Meanwhile, Grêmio finished last season's Brazilian Serie A in 14th place, edging Juventude for a Copa Sudamericana spot only on additional criteria. In the state championship, Grêmio reached the tournament final, where they battled Internacional over two matches.
The fate of the cup was essentially decided in the first match when Grêmio lost the home game 0-2. In the return leg, the club didn't lose and managed a 1-1 draw. In the new Brazilian championship season that kicked off over the weekend, the team defeated Atlético Mineiro 2-1 at home. The hosts scored both their goals in the first half, although Atlético played well and at least deserved a draw (xG 0.83 against 2.28).
Probable Lineups
- Sportivo Luqueño: Aguilar, Torres, Agular, Villalba, Brizuela, Vera, Baez, Rios, Benitez, Gonzalez, Comas
- Grêmio: Volpi, Igor, Martins, Eli, Pedro, Ronald, Villasanti, Mila, Cristaldo, Pavón, Braithwaite
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- The teams have not met in international tournaments before
- The "Both Teams to Score" bet hit in two of Sportivo Luqueño's last five matches
- The "Both Teams to Score" option hit in four of Grêmio's last five matches
Prediction
Bookmakers favor the Brazilians, offering odds of 1.77 for a Grêmio victory. We believe it's better to take "Under 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.65.
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