Rennes vs Toulouse: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 28 February 2026
One of the key clashes of Ligue 1 round 23 will unfold on Saturday at Roazhon Park in Rennes, where the local side will host Toulouse. The home team has gained momentum since their coaching change and remains firmly in the hunt for European spots, making a bet on their victory in front of their own fans look like a calculated move.
Match preview
Rennes received a significant boost after parting ways with Habib Bey. Under the guidance of Franck Haise, the team has claimed back-to-back victories, netting three goals in each match – including a commanding 3-0 win over Auxerre last round, and earlier, a triumph over PSG. The Bretons currently sit sixth, just three points behind Marseille in fourth – a position that could open the door to Champions League qualification.
At home, Rennes have been rock-solid: they have picked up points in five of their last six outings at Roazhon Park, with their only defeat in that span coming in January against Lorient (0-2). With 37 points after 23 rounds – 11 more than at this stage last season – Rennes’ progress is clear, not just in results, but also in the quality of their football.
Toulouse, on the other hand, are gradually losing ground. A 1-1 draw with Le Havre stretched their winless run to four matches, dropping them to tenth in the table. The gap to the European places is now six points, and if their struggles continue, the visitors could soon find themselves in the bottom half.
Their away form is especially worrying: they’ve lost their last two Ligue 1 games on the road, scoring just once. In fact, Toulouse have managed only one away league victory in 2026, and when conceding first, they almost never manage a comeback—the only exception being their October clash with Lyon (2-1). Yet, Toulouse have a strong head-to-head record against Rennes, going six matches unbeaten, including two straight wins in Rennes.
Probable lineups
- Rennes: Samba, Nagida, Rouault, Brassier, Merlin, Rongier, Camara, Al-Taamari, Blas, Nordin, Lepaul.
- Toulouse: Restes, Sidibe, Cresswell, McKenzie, Kamanzi, Vossach, Diop, Metali, Russell-Rowe, Gboho, Hidalgo.
Match facts & head-to-head
- Rennes have won their last two league matches by an aggregate score of 6-1.
- Toulouse are winless in their last four Ligue 1 fixtures.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last six meetings with Rennes, including two consecutive victories at Roazhon Park.
Prediction
The managerial shakeup has clearly revitalized Rennes, who are now playing with renewed energy and attacking intent. Toulouse have historically been a tough opponent for the Bretons, but current form and home advantage tip the scales toward the hosts. Expect a tense, hard-fought encounter, with Rennes likely to edge it in the end.
