Como vs Lecce: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 28 February 2026
One of the fixtures of Serie A’s 26th round will take place on Saturday at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como, where the hosts, Como, welcome Lecce. The home side is locked in a genuine battle for a top-four finish and a Champions League spot, while the visitors have slipped into the relegation zone. Here’s my pick for this intriguing clash.
Match preview
Cesc Fàbregas’ Como continues to script one of the most captivating stories of the season. Last week, the Lombardy side completed a double over Juventus, defeating the Turin giants 2-0 once again — a goal in each half and a textbook defensive performance. Since their promotion from Serie B in 2024, Como have not only cemented their place in the top flight but are now serious contenders for a Champions League berth: Como are on 45 points, level with Atalanta and just one behind Juve.
The foundation of their success is defence: 13 clean sheets, bettered only by league leaders Inter. However, Como’s home form has dipped slightly of late — just one win in their last five matches at Sinigaglia, after having won four out of five previously. The return of the previously suspended Nico Paz, who has been particularly effective against Lecce, should add some bite to their attacking third.
Lecce come into this match sitting in the relegation zone. Their defeat to Inter (0-2) last round was painful, even though the Salento side held firm until the 75th minute. They had previously notched crucial wins over Cagliari and Udinese, but overall inconsistency and lack of firepower have once again dragged them into trouble.
The head-to-head statistics aren’t encouraging for the visitors either: since Como’s return to Serie A, Lecce have lost all three meetings, conceding eight goals without scoring once. In attack, Di Francesco’s side lacks a clear leader — not a single player in the current squad has reached double digits for Serie A goals in their career. Up against Como’s organised defence, that’s a worrying sign.
Probable lineups
- Como: Butez, Smolcic, Ramon, Kempf, Valle, Perrone, Da Cunha, Vojvoda, Paz, Rodriguez, Douvikas.
- Lecce: Falcone, Veiga, Gabriel, Siebert, Gallo, Koulibaly, Ramadani, Pierotti, Gandelman, Sottil, Cheddira.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Como have won all three Serie A matches against Lecce since their return to the top flight, keeping a clean sheet each time.
- Only Inter have more clean sheets than Como (13) this season.
- Lecce are 18th in the table and trail their relegation rivals on goal difference.
Prediction
Como are showing a maturity and balance rarely seen from a recently promoted side. Lecce will fight, but their limited attacking options and poor head-to-head record stack the odds against them. With home support and the return of Paz, the hosts should control proceedings and secure a confident victory.
