Real Madrid vs Mallorca prediction, H2H & Probable Line-ups – January 9, 2025

Real Madrid vs Mallorca prediction Photo: beinsports.com / Author unknown
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Jude Bellingham
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Martin Valjent
90' + 3 (OG)
Rodrygo
90' + 5

Real Madrid will face Mallorca on Thursday in the semifinal stage of the Spanish Super Cup. Here's a suggested bet on the outcome of this clash, with strong chances for success.

Match preview

Carlo Ancelotti’s side approaches the Super Cup match in excellent form and high spirits. In 2025, Los Blancos have already played two games. First, in a rescheduled La Liga fixture, Madrid secured a 2-1 win against Valencia, overtaking Barcelona to claim the top spot in the standings. Then, in the Copa del Rey, Real easily dismantled Deportiva Minera with a 5-0 rout.

Currently, the Royal Club is riding a four-match winning streak, with their unbeaten run extending to seven matches. During this stretch, they’ve only dropped points once, in a thrilling 3-3 draw with Rayo Vallecano. Although the season hasn’t been flawless for Madrid, the team has clearly found its rhythm lately. Ancelotti’s men are confidently chasing titles across multiple competitions, including the Spanish Super Cup, where they are clear favorites.

Mallorca, on the other hand, is navigating a tougher path. The New Year began with disappointment for Jagoba Arrasate’s team, as they suffered a shocking 3-0 defeat to modest Pontevedra in the Copa del Rey. The match was a disaster on all fronts – poor control, ineffective attacking execution, and a lack of ideas on the pitch. However, this should not overshadow their overall performance in La Liga, where Mallorca has shown solid form and remains firmly in the European competition zone.

Despite some setbacks, such as losses to Barcelona (1-5) and Celta Vigo (0-2), the Islanders have proven their competitiveness with wins against Valencia (2-1), Girona (2-1), and Getafe (1-0). The team is comfortably positioned in the top six and could aim even higher if they regain consistency.

Probable lineups

  • Real Madrid: Lunin, Vázquez, Tchouaméni, Rüdiger, Mendy, Ceballos, Valverde, Rodrygo, Bellingham, Asensio, Mbappé
  • Mallorca: Greif, Maffeo, Mojica, Raíllo, Copete, Costa, Morlanes, Darder, Navarro, Sánchez, Larin

Match facts and head-to-head results

  • Real Madrid has beaten Mallorca in three of their last five meetings, losing just once.
  • Four of their last matches have seen two or fewer goals scored.
  • Three of their last four encounters ended 1-0.

Prediction

Bookmakers are confident in a Real Madrid victory, offering odds of around 1.40 for a win. Our recommended bet for this match is “Real Madrid to win with a -1.0 handicap” at odds of 1.60.

Prediction on game W1(-1.0)
Odds: 1.6
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