Rayo Vallecano — Real Madrid Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 9 November 2025
On November 9, 2025, in Matchday 12 of La Liga, Rayo Vallecano will host Real Madrid. The match is scheduled to kick off at 16:15 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano come into this match in solid form after an important and emotional victory in the UEFA Conference League. The team showed great spirit, coming back from 0–2 down to beat Polish side Lech Poznań 3–2 in the closing minutes — a perfect response after a heavy 0–4 defeat to Villarreal in the previous La Liga round.
That result extended Rayo’s strong run, as the team have now lost just once in their last eight games across all competitions. During this stretch, they’ve earned six wins and one draw, showing a good balance between defense and attack.
At home, Rayo are playing with confidence — they have won their last three home matches, keeping two clean sheets. In La Liga, they currently sit 10th in the standings with 14 points, just four behind the European qualification zone.
When it comes to head-to-head matches at home against Real Madrid, Rayo have had some success in recent years. In their last five meetings at home, they’ve managed two wins, two draws, and only one defeat — showing they can compete even against the league leaders.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid approach this game after suffering their second loss of the season and first in the Champions League. Los Blancos lost 0–1 away to Liverpool in midweek. Before that, they had won all three of their European fixtures and sit in 7th position with 9 points after four matches.
In La Liga, Carlo Ancelotti’s men continue to look dominant. Real have picked up 30 points after 11 rounds, sitting at the top of the table, five points ahead of Barcelona. They’ve lost only once this season — in the Madrid derby against Atlético — and are yet to record a draw this season.
Defensively, Real remain solid, conceding just 10 goals — one of the best records in the league. However, away from home, their performances have been less convincing. In their last five away matches across all competitions, they’ve suffered two defeats (against Atlético and Liverpool), with all points they have dropped this season coming away from home.
In head-to-head encounters against Rayo Vallecano, Real Madrid generally finds these matches very tough. In the last five meetings, Real Madrid has not lost once — recording three draws and two narrow victories. In four out of those five games, both teams managed to score.
Probable Lineups
- Rayo Vallecano: Batalla, Balliu, Lejeune, Ciss, Pacha, Trejo, Díaz, Gumbau, García, De Frutos, Palazon
- Real Madrid: Courtois, Valverde, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras, Guler, Ceballos, Camavinga, Bellingham, Mbappe, Vinicius
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Rayo Vallecano have won 6 of their last 8 matches.
- Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
- 5 of Rayo’s last 6 matches have ended with over 2.5 total goals.
- Rayo have not conceded first in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Real Madrid have won 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Real Madrid have scored first in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings against Rayo.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head meetings.
Rayo Vallecano — Real Madrid Prediction
Both teams enter this game in good form. Rayo Vallecano have been impressive recently, losing only once in their last several matches and looking confident at home. Real Madrid, meanwhile, suffered their first European defeat but remain strong domestically and lead the league table. Head-to-head meetings between these sides are usually competitive, with Rayo often finding the net against Los Blancos, particularly at home. Real have the edge in quality and depth, but Vallecano’s fighting spirit and home support make them dangerous. We can expect an open, attacking game with chances at both ends. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score, at odds of 1.75.
