Lyon vs PSG prediction, H2H and probable lineups – 9 November 2025
The marquee clash of Ligue 1's 12th round unfolds this Sunday at Lyon’s Groupama Stadium, where the local side welcomes Paris Saint-Germain. Here’s my pick for the winner in this high-stakes encounter, backed by solid odds.
Match preview
Lyon heads into this fixture on the back of a 0-2 defeat to Real Betis in the Europa League. Still, that setback isn’t alarming—the team started their European campaign brightly, winning their first three matches and maintaining a spot near the top of the group. The result in Spain is unlikely to dampen the squad’s spirits too much.
Things aren’t going as smoothly in Ligue 1, though: Lyon has managed just one win in their last five outings. Discipline has been another stumbling block—red cards have been shown to Lyon players in each of their last two games. Defender Abner Vinicius was sent off against FC Paris, while newcomer Hans Hateboer, in just his second appearance for the club, saw red against Brest. Additionally, Lyon will be without the injured Malick Fofana and Ernest Nuamah.
PSG also faltered in Europe, falling 1-2 to Bayern Munich. The defeat was compounded by injuries to key players: Ousmane Dembélé and Achraf Hakimi both picked up knocks, and it was later confirmed that Nuno Mendes will miss the Lyon clash due to injury.
In Ligue 1, Luis Enrique’s side has already dropped points four times—three draws and a single defeat (0-1 to Marseille). Last round, the Parisians narrowly avoided another slip-up, salvaging a win over Nice thanks to a stoppage-time goal from Gonçalo Ramos. This season has been far from straightforward for PSG—the champions no longer look invincible, and even mid-table sides are proving capable of taking points off them.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Lyon is winless in their last three matches.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight fixtures.
- PSG has opened the scoring in six of their last seven games.
- PSG holds a clear advantage in the last ten head-to-head meetings—winning eight, with Lyon taking just one and one draw.
- The last meeting at Lyon’s ground ended in a 3-2 win for PSG.
Probable lineups
- Lyon: Greif - Maitland-Niles, Mata, Niakhaté, Tagliafico - Tessmann, Morton, Tolisso - Šulc, Moreira, Satriano
- PSG: Chevalier - Neves, Marquinhos, Pacho, Hernández - Vitinha, Ruiz, Zaïre-Emery - Kvaratskhelia, Barcola, Mayulu
Prediction
I believe PSG are obliged to win, even with their injury concerns. The Parisians have already dropped too many points, so after the Bayern setback, Luis Enrique’s men will be determined to regroup and claim victory over Lyon. My prediction: PSG to win.
