PSV vs Bayern: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 28 January 2026
One of the matches of the 8th round of the general stage of the 2025/26 Champions League will take place on Wednesday at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven, where local side PSV will host Bayern Munich. I’m offering a bet on the outcome with a high probability of success in this intriguing clash.
Match preview
The Dutch club is currently in the playoff zone, but their position is shaky—only tiebreakers are keeping them in the top 24. PSV have lost two matches in a row, including a heavy defeat to Newcastle and a slip-up against Breda at home. However, Peter Bosz’s men are solid at home, regularly scoring two or more goals, including in European competition.
The main issue remains squad depth—there isn’t a single natural striker available, forcing the coach to experiment. Injuries, suspensions and physical strain are complicating preparations for this crucial showdown with Bayern. Still, the team maintains a fighting spirit and could capitalize on the opponent’s defensive frailties to cement their place in the playoff zone.
Bayern, after a bright start to the season, have begun to struggle: in the Champions League, they lost to Arsenal, and in the Bundesliga, they suffered a sensational defeat to Augsburg over the weekend. Their defense is especially concerning—injuries and illnesses have undermined stability, and the right flank has become a real problem area. Even with the motivation to secure second place in the group, Bayern no longer look invincible.
Thomas Tuchel is dealing with a shortage of options in defense and is forced to play some out of position, which is undermining the reliability of the entire back line. However, the attacking firepower remains impressive, led by Harry Kane, and it’s the offense that could pull the Munich side through this tough match. Expect goals at both ends and a fierce battle until the final whistle.
Probable lineups
- PSV: Kovar, Junior, Obispo, Flamingo, Sildillia, Veerman, Schouten, Saibari, Perisic, Til, Man
- Bayern: Neuer, Bischoff, Upamecano, Tah, Ito, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Karl, Dias, Kane
Match facts and head-to-head
- In seven of the eight meetings between these teams, no more than three goals were scored.
- Bayern have won six of their last eight encounters with PSV.
- PSV have scored at least two goals in 13 of their last 15 home matches.
Prediction
Both teams come into the match with different ambitions: PSV are fighting to stay in the top 24, while Bayern want to secure second place. Bayern’s defensive woes could play into the hands of the Dutch side, especially at home. We expect an entertaining match with goals from both sides. Given current form and motivation, a draw seems likely—a result that would suit the visitors.
