PSG vs Real Madrid, Club World Cup semi-final. Prediction, H2H and probable lineups — July 9, 2025

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid prediction Shaun Botterill/Getty Images
Finished
4 : 0
International, East Rutherford, New York/New Jersey Stadium
Fabian Ruiz
6' 24'
Ousmane Dembele
9'
Goncalo Ramos
87'

On July 9, 2025, PSG and Real Madrid will go head-to-head in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup in East Rutherford. Let's take a closer look at the matchup and find the best prediction.

See also: Fluminense vs Chelsea prediction and betting tips 08 July 2025

Match preview

PSG are marching confidently through the tournament, having dropped points only once in five matches—a 0-1 defeat to Botafogo—while netting 12 goals and keeping four clean sheets. Luis Enrique's side hardly needs an introduction: the Parisian club secured a treble, demolishing Inter in the Champions League final (5-0) and Reims in the French Cup final (3-0).

The only issue for PSG is suspensions: after their quarter-final victory over Bayern, both Lucas Hernandez and Willian Pacho will miss the clash against Madrid due to straight red cards.

Real remain unbeaten at the World Cup: they opened with a draw against Al Hilal (1-1), then racked up four straight wins, all in regulation time. Under Xabi Alonso, the team is still working on cohesion, but they're ready to unleash attacking football—even against a powerhouse like PSG.

Madrid will also be without a key player through suspension: young center-back Dean Huijsen saw red in their match against Borussia.

Probable lineups

PSG: Donnarumma, Mendes, Beraldo, Marquinhos, Hakimi, Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves, Kvaratskhelia, Barcola, Dembélé
Real: Courtois, Garcia, Asensio, Rüdiger, Alexander-Arnold, Tchouaméni, Güler, Valverde, Bellingham, G. Garcia, Vinicius

Match facts and head-to-head

  • At least three goals have been scored in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings

  • Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 encounters

  • PSG have conceded just 4 goals in their last 10 matches, keeping six clean sheets

  • Real have scored in 15 consecutive matches

Prediction

Given the attacking prowess of both sides and their high-scoring recent history, the best bet looks to be Total over (3) at 1.86 odds.

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.86
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4.75
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