PSG vs Paris: Prediction, H2H and probable lineups - January 12, 2026
On Monday, the Coupe de France round of 32 will feature a Parisian derby, as PSG hosts FC Paris. Read on for a detailed look at both teams and an expert prediction for the match.
Match preview
PSG heads into this clash riding high after capturing yet another trophy—their third of the current season. Remarkably, all three titles have been secured via penalty shootouts: first against Tottenham in the UEFA Super Cup, then Flamengo in the Intercontinental Cup, and most recently, Luis Enrique’s team triumphed again in the French Super Cup against Marseille. That victory was especially significant, as Marseille is a fierce rival for PSG—just like FC Paris, whom they now face.
There’s a strong chance the PSG coaching staff will rotate the squad. Some players who haven’t seen much game time this season could start, while key stars may get a breather following the recent Super Cup trip to Kuwait. Despite this, PSG’s form is impressive: they’ve lost just once in their last 11 matches—a Ligue 1 defeat to Monaco. It’s also worth noting that PSG are the current holders of the Coupe de France and have dominated the tournament for years, last failing to win it in 2023 when they were knocked out by Marseille in the round of 16.
For FC Paris, this is a second straight match against a French football giant. The team had a midweek break, but on January 4 already faced PSG, put up a valiant fight, but ultimately fell short. FC Paris’s only goal came from the penalty spot—striker Willem Geubbels converting. To reach this stage of the Coupe de France, Stéphane Gilli’s side overcame amateur club Raon-l'Étape before being drawn against the strongest team in France and arguably all of Europe.
In that earlier cup match, FC Paris won confidently, with Jonathan Ikoné stealing the show by netting a hat-trick. For the winger, who is rebooting his career with the Parisian club, it was a special night—remarkably, those remain his only goals for PSG so far.
Match facts and head-to-head
- PSG have won all of their last five matches.
- More than two goals have been scored in four of PSG’s last five games.
- FC Paris have won only one of their last seven fixtures.
- These teams have met in official competition just once before—last week, when PSG claimed a 2-1 victory.
Probable lineups
- PSG: Marin - Zaïre-Emery, Zabarnyi, Beraldo, Hernández - Vitinha, Neves, Mayulu - Dembelé, Doué, Ramos
- Paris: Nkambadio - Sangui, Mbow, Kolodziejczak, Smet - Marchetti, Camara, López - Ikoné, Cafaro, Geubbels
Prediction
PSG are expected to win, and do so comfortably. Regardless of the starting lineup, the Parisians remain significantly stronger than their crosstown rivals. With that in mind, the best bet looks to be PSG to win with an Asian handicap of -1.5.
