PSG vs Monaco: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 25 February 2026
The second leg of the Champions League play-off round will take place on Wednesday at the Parc des Princes in Paris, where PSG host Monaco. After a hard-fought 3-2 comeback win in the first leg, Luis Enrique's side holds a slender advantage, but the tie is far from over. Let’s break down a betting option featuring a high-scoring game with the home side on top.
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Match preview
The Parisians found themselves in trouble in the first leg, conceding twice, but managed to turn the tide and claim a 3-2 victory. That comeback was the perfect response to a 1-3 league defeat to Rennes that had disrupted their rhythm. In the following Ligue 1 round, PSG – fielding a largely rotated squad – confidently dispatched Metz, with Matvei Safonov keeping a clean sheet and the team reclaiming top spot in the table.
Luis Enrique has been managing his squad's workload smartly: against Metz, he rotated heavily to ensure freshness for the Monaco clash. The involvement of Doue and Dembele remains in doubt, but PSG’s squad depth can offset these absences – Barcola and Ramos are ready to start. At home, PSG traditionally dominate the Monégasques: Monaco haven’t won in Paris since February 2021.
Sébastien Pocognoli’s side have gradually stabilized their play after a difficult January. Wins over Rennes and Nantes reignited their European ambitions, and last time out they pulled off a spirited away victory at Lens. Even their defeat to PSG in the first leg was respectable – they led at one stage and played organized football.
However, personnel issues remain a major concern: first-choice goalkeeper Hradecky is injured, while Dier, Ouattara and Salisu are also out, and Golovin is suspended. Monaco traditionally struggle away in the Champions League – in recent seasons, they've conceded heavily on the road, including six goals against Real Madrid and four against Brugge. That makes their task in Paris extremely tough.
Probable lineups
- PSG: Safonov, Pacho, Marquinhos, Mendes, Hakimi, Vitinha, Neves, Zaire-Emery, Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, Ramos.
- Monaco: Köhn, Teze, Faes, Vanderson, Henrique, Zakaria, Camara, Adingra, Akliouche, Fati, Balogun.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Both teams have scored in six of the last nine meetings between PSG and Monaco.
- Monaco have not won in Paris since February 2021.
- Three of the last five head-to-heads have featured four or more goals.
Prediction
PSG come into this match fresher and with a lead on aggregate, while Monaco’s squad issues make a comeback even harder. Still, Monaco are capable of putting up a fight and creating chances. Expect an open contest with the home side holding the edge.
