Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 25 February 2026
The second leg of the Champions League playoff round takes place this Wednesday at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, where Atalanta will host Borussia Dortmund. The Italian side faces a two-goal deficit after a 0-2 defeat in Germany, setting up one of the most intriguing European nights of the week. Let’s take a look at the odds for a high-scoring encounter with both teams likely to find the net.
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Match preview
Atalanta didn’t look as bold as expected in the first leg in Dortmund and fell 0-2, struggling to impose their tempo. However, they bounced back immediately in Serie A with a victory over Napoli (2-1), demonstrating both character and the ability to step up in key moments. At home, Raffaele Palladino’s side play aggressively: ten wins in 12 matches and at least two goals scored in most games – that’s not a coincidence, but a clear pattern.
In terms of squad options, the coaching staff has few limitations – Ederson, Samardzic, and Scamacca are all back in action, adding muscle to the midfield and more attacking variety. The absences of De Ketelaere and Raspadori are notable, but Atalanta’s current system is built on intensity and pressing, not just one or two individual stars. The key question: can the defense maintain the balance between attacking fervor and the need to stay disciplined against Borussia’s counterattacks?
Borussia come into this match after an emotional Bundesliga clash with Leipzig (2-2), where Niko Kovac’s men fought back from 0-2 in the second half. That result showed one thing above all – the “Black and Yellows” have grit, and even under pressure they can turn things around. Yes, Bayern are gradually pulling away in the Bundesliga, but Dortmund look laser-focused in the Champions League.
In Bergamo, Kovac will have to patch up his defense due to injuries to Süle, Schlotterbeck, and Mané, but the spotlight is on the youth – 18-year-old Reggiani already made his mark in the first leg. Up front, the choice is obvious: Serhou Guirassy, who has racked up six goals and an assist in his last five games, including one against Atalanta. Despite not always being the most convincing away side, Borussia have lost just twice in their last 12 away matches, making them a tough nut to crack.
Probable lineups
- Atalanta: Carnesecchi, Kolasinac, Hien, Scalvini, Zappacosta, Ederson, de Roon, Bellanova, Zalewski, Samardzic, Scamacca.
- Borussia Dortmund: Kobel, Reggiani, Anton, Bensebaini, Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson, Bayer, Brandt, Guirassy.
Match facts and head-to-head
- The first leg in Dortmund ended with a 2-0 win for Borussia.
- Atalanta have scored at least two goals in five of their last seven home Champions League matches.
- Borussia have lost only two of their last 12 away games in all competitions.
Prediction
Atalanta will be forced to go on the attack from the first whistle, and with the home crowd behind them at the Gewiss Stadium, they’re capable of scoring twice. However, an open game is the perfect environment for Guirassy and Borussia’s rapid wingers. Expect a dynamic clash with chances at both ends.
