PSG — Monaco Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 25 February 2026

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco prediction Photo: https://www.psg.fr/Author unknownn
Champions League (Round 1/16) 25 feb 2026, 15:00
Finished
2 : 2
International, Paris, Parc des Princes
Marquinhos
60'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
66'
45'
Maghnes Akliouche
90' + 1
Jordan Teze

On February 25, 2026, in the second leg of the round of 32 of the UEFA Champions League, PSG will host Monaco. The match is scheduled to kick off at 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

PSG

Paris Saint-Germain come into this match in good form. Over their last seven matches in all competitions, the team have suffered just one defeat, along with one draw and five wins. In their most recent outing, PSG secured a convincing 3–0 home victory over Metz in Ligue 1.

At the moment, PSG sit top of the league table, holding a two-point lead over Lens, who are in second place. As for their home form, the Parisians have been very solid: they are unbeaten in their last four home matches, recording three wins and one draw. Overall, PSG have lost just once in their last 11 home games across all competitions.

Looking at head-to-head meetings against Monaco in Paris, PSG clearly have the upper hand. They are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Monaco, with four wins and one draw. The most recent meeting between the sides took place in Paris and ended in a dominant 4–1 victory for PSG, around a year ago.

Monaco

Monaco come into this fixture in a positive mood. In their most recent league match, they defeated Lens away from home by a 3–2 scoreline, a result that clearly boosted confidence, even though the team’s overall form has been rather inconsistent. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Monaco have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats.

One of those defeats came in the Coupe de France against Strasbourg, which saw Monaco eliminated from the tournament. The other loss was particularly painful, as it came in the first leg of the Champions League play-offs at home against Paris Saint-Germain. Monaco led 2–0 during the match but then conceded three goals, leaving them in a very difficult position ahead of the return leg in Paris. It is also worth recalling that last season Monaco were eliminated at the same stage of the competition, when they lost to Benfica.

As for their away form, Monaco have struggled on the road. The win against Lens was their only victory in the last five away matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. Looking at head-to-head meetings with PSG, Monaco also hold no real advantage: in the last seven encounters between the sides, Monaco have won just once, drawn once, and suffered five defeats.

Probable Lineups

  • PSG: Safonov, Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi, Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves, Doué, Kvaratskhelia, Barcola
  • Monaco: Kohn, Caio Henrique, Faes, Kehrer, Vanderson, Zakaria, Camara, Adingra, Mamadou Coulibaly, Fati, Balogun

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • PSG have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • 3 of PSG’s last 4 matches have seen over 3.5 goals.
  • 5 of Monaco’s last 6 matches have seen over 3.5 goals.
  • In 4 of Monaco’s last 5 matches, both teams scored.
  • PSG have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
  • The first leg finished 3–2 in favour of PSG.

PSG — Monaco Prediction

Both teams come into this match after securing wins in their most recent league fixtures, with Paris Saint-Germain holding an advantage from the first leg and boasting a strong historical record at home against Monaco, having gone five consecutive home matches without defeat against this opponent. Monaco, meanwhile, travel in a difficult situation, but the team still look fairly solid and confident. Firstly, they managed to score twice against PSG in the first leg. Secondly, they showed their attacking potential in the league by defeating Lens, who had been leading the championship at the time, scoring three goals against them. Taking all these factors into account, we can expect a very interesting contest. Monaco will have to push forward and seek goals, while PSG, coming into the match as clear favourites, will be playing at home, where they usually feel very comfortable. Considering everything, it is reasonable to expect a high-scoring affair, similar to the first leg. Recommended bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes (1.62)

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.62
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