PSG — Marseille Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 8 February 2026

Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille prediction Photo: https://www.om.fr/en/Author unknownn
Ligue 1 France (Round 21) 08 feb 2026, 14:45
Finished
5 : 0
France, Paris, Parc des Princes
Ousmane Dembele
12' 37'
Facundo Medina
64' (OG)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
66'
Kang-In Lee
74'

On February 8, 2026, in Matchday 21 of the French Ligue 1, PSG will host Marseille. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

PSG

PSG come into this match after securing their third consecutive win in Ligue 1. In their most recent game, they defeated Strasbourg away from home 2–1, following a narrow 1–0 victory over Auxerre and a convincing 3–0 home win against Lille. PSG currently sit at the top of the league table, holding a two-point lead over second-placed Lens. As for their home form, PSG have been extremely strong in Ligue 1, recording eight wins and one draw in nine home matches, remaining unbeaten on their own ground.

However, the situation has been less convincing in other competitions. In the Champions League, PSG failed to win their last two matches, first losing to Sporting and then drawing with Newcastle, which saw them finish only 11th in the standings and miss out on the top eight, meaning they will have to play in the round of 32 against a familiar opponent, Monaco. In the Coupe de France, PSG suffered a surprise elimination after losing to Paris FC in the round of 32.

On a positive note, earlier this year PSG won the French Super Cup, defeating their upcoming opponent Marseille, with the match ending 2–2 in regular time before PSG prevailed on penalties. Looking at head-to-head meetings at home against Marseille, PSG hold a strong advantage, having won five consecutive matches in Paris.

Marseille

Marseille come into this match after a convincing victory in the Coupe de France against Rennes. In the round of 16, they secured a 3–0 win and advanced to the quarter-finals, ending a two-match winless run. Their most recent Ligue 1 match was played away against Paris FC, where Marseille led 2–0 during the game but eventually failed to hold the advantage and settled for a draw. At the moment, Marseille sit third in the Ligue 1 standings, trailing PSG by nine points and Lens by seven. As for their away form, Marseille have been fairly competitive on the road, recording five wins, one draw and four defeats, which is the third-best away record in Ligue 1.

However, a major disappointment for the club was their elimination from the Champions League. Marseille lost their last two matches heavily, first falling 0–3 to Liverpool and then suffering another 0–3 defeat against Club Brugge, which left them only 25th in the overall standings and outside the playoff positions.

Looking at head-to-head meetings against PSG, Marseille have generally struggled against this opponent. In the last seven encounters, Marseille have managed just one win, a home victory earlier this season, along with one draw, while PSG won the remaining five matches. Notably, five of those seven games ended with over 2.5 goals scored.

Probable Lineups

  • PSG: Safonov, Zaire-Emery, Pacho, Marquinhos, Mendes, Vitinha, Joao Neves, Mayulu, Dembele, Barcola, Doue
  • Marseille: Rulli, Medina, Aguerd, Balerdi, Emerson, Timber, Hojbjerg, Weah, Greenwood, Paixao, Gouiri

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • PSG have won or drawn 11 of their last 13 matches.
  • In 3 of PSG’s last 4 matches, both teams scored.
  • Marseille have won or drawn 6 of their last 8 matches.
  • Marseille’s last 6 away matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • PSG have won or drawn 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.

PSG — Marseille Prediction

After disappointing campaigns in the Champions League and the Coupe de France, PSG have looked confident in Ligue 1, where they currently sit at the top of the table. The Paris side are very strong at home and boast a positive record against Marseille in home fixtures. Marseille, meanwhile, after a poor Champions League run, have shifted their focus to domestic competitions, continuing their journey in the Coupe de France by reaching the quarter-finals, while also fighting for the top positions in Ligue 1. It is worth noting that Marseille currently possess the best attacking record in the league, having scored 46 goals. In recent head-to-head meetings, Marseille have generally struggled against PSG, but this season they have already beaten the Parisians in the league and also held them to a draw in the French Super Cup. Taking into account the current form of both teams, the importance of this derby, PSG’s desire to extend their impressive home run, and Marseille’s motivation to respond after recent setbacks, along with the attacking quality on both sides, there are all the ingredients for a dynamic and entertaining match with plenty of chances and goals from both teams. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.62.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.62
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