Can Jokic exploit Memphis' injury problems? Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets prediction – 12.11.2026
Memphis Grizzlies
Denver Nuggets
On November 12, the Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets will meet at FedExForum in an intriguing NBA Western Conference clash. The hosts have started the season surprisingly well, winning seven of their first ten games, while Denver have been less consistent despite their established star power. With Memphis dealing with several injury concerns, Nikola Jokic and his teammates have an opportunity to capitalize.
Memphis Grizzlies: A promising start overshadowed by injury concerns
Memphis have been one of the early surprises of the 2026/27 NBA season. Under Tuomas Iisalo, the Grizzlies opened their campaign with six consecutive victories, demonstrating that their rebuilding project can produce competitive results much sooner than expected.
However, that impressive start was followed by three straight home defeats. Memphis lost narrowly to New Orleans (134-135) and Indiana (103-107) before suffering a heavy 97-128 defeat against Oklahoma City. The Grizzlies finally returned to winning ways on November 9, beating Toronto 118-102 on the road.
Ty Jerome was the main contributor in that victory, scoring 27 points, while rookie Cameron Boozer added 22 points and eight assists. The young forward is rapidly becoming a central figure in the team's new identity, alongside Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells and Zach Edey. Jerami Grant also provides valuable experience and another offensive option.
Memphis are averaging 117.9 points per game while allowing 110.8, highlighting their encouraging balance between offense and defense.
Nevertheless, injuries could significantly complicate the upcoming matchup. Scotty Pippen Jr. remains on the injury list with a back problem, while Richie Saunders is recovering from knee surgery. Isaiah Stewart is dealing with a right knee bone bruise, and Quinten Post suffered a head injury against Toronto. The availability of both big men remains uncertain.
These personnel problems are particularly concerning against Denver, whose greatest strength is the ability to generate offense through Jokic in the paint.
Denver Nuggets: Jokic and Murray remain the difference-makers
Denver have experienced a mixed start to the new campaign, recording five victories and four defeats under David Adelman. The Nuggets have shown flashes of their offensive potential but have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against physically demanding opponents.
Their latest game ended in a 100-110 defeat against Houston. Despite the result, Jamal Murray produced an outstanding individual performance, scoring 38 points and converting five three-pointers. Nikola Jokic was equally influential, finishing with 25 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists.
However, the lack of sufficient support from the rest of the rotation proved costly. Denver were unable to capitalize on their stars' productivity, exposing one of the team's main weaknesses early in the season.
The Nuggets had previously defeated Indiana 114-102 and Toronto 128-109, demonstrating that they remain dangerous when their offense operates efficiently. Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon and veteran DeMar DeRozan provide Adelman with several additional options.
Denver are averaging 113.6 points per game while conceding 112.8. Their relatively controlled pace could also prove important against a Memphis team that prefers to generate opportunities through faster offensive sequences.
In terms of personnel, Denver are in a more favorable position. Julian Strawther remains sidelined with a knee injury, but the team's principal offensive leaders are available.
Match facts and head-to-head
Memphis have won seven of their first ten NBA games this season, although they have lost their last three home matches.
Denver have won five of their nine games and have scored at least 110 points in six of those encounters.
The Nuggets have also dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning five of their last six meetings with Memphis.
Prediction
This matchup promises to be more competitive than the teams' current records might suggest. Memphis have enjoyed a better start to the season and possess enough offensive talent to challenge Denver, particularly through Jerome and Boozer.
However, the visitors have a significant advantage in experience and individual quality. Jokic remains one of the league's most difficult players to defend, and Memphis' uncertainty surrounding Stewart and Post makes his presence even more threatening.
Denver's recent results have been inconsistent, but Murray's scoring form and Jokic's ability to control the game through passing and rebounding could prove decisive. The Nuggets also have the personnel to slow the tempo and force Memphis into more difficult half-court possessions.
The Grizzlies should provide strong resistance, especially at home, but Denver's superior experience and potential advantage inside give the visitors a slight edge.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets to win (Odds: 1.68)
