Portugal vs Belgium prediction, H2H and probable line-ups – 11 July 2025
Portugal
Belgium
On July 11, 2025, the third round of Group B in the UEFA Women's European Championship will feature a clash between Portugal and Belgium. Let’s break down the best bet for team goals in this encounter.
Portugal
Portugal heads into the decisive third group-stage match with only slim hopes of reaching the playoffs. To keep their trophy dreams alive, several conditions must be met: first, they need to beat Belgium by a large margin, and second, they must hope for an equally heavy defeat for Italy at the hands of Spain.
After a crushing 0-5 loss to Spain in the opening round, the Portuguese side faced Italy in their next game. Despite trailing from the middle of the second half, they managed to level the score and rescue a draw—1-1—thus preserving their mathematical chances of advancing from the group.
However, the situation remains extremely tough for Portugal. They are winless in their last seven matches. Interestingly, their last victory came against their upcoming opponent—Belgium—in the Nations League. On that occasion, they eked out a narrow 1-0 win, but lost the return fixture in Belgium 0-3 and ultimately finished lower in the group standings.
Therefore, this upcoming match against Belgium is Portugal’s last chance to stay in the playoff hunt and perhaps take revenge for their recent defeat.
Belgium
Unlike Portugal, Belgium has already lost all mathematical chances of making the playoffs in this European Championship. This is the third consecutive tournament for the Belgian squad, but true breakthrough success still eludes them. In 2017, they failed to get out of the group, while in 2022, they achieved their best result—reaching the quarterfinals where they lost to Sweden.
This time, Belgium again failed to progress past the group stage. In the first match, they narrowly lost 0-1 to Italy. In the second fixture, facing group favorites Spain, Belgium delivered an entertaining contest. Early in the second half, the score was tied at 2-2, but the Spaniards eventually pulled away for a convincing 6-2 victory.
Head-to-head, Belgium holds the advantage over Portugal. Out of eight meetings, Belgium has won five, one ended in a draw, and Portugal has claimed two victories. So, despite having nothing left to play for in terms of qualification, Belgium will surely aim to finish the tournament on a positive note, especially given their strong record against Portugal.
Probable line-ups
- Portugal: Teixeira, F. Pinto, Costa, Seica, Vea, Jacinto, Norton, T. Pinto, Amado, D. Silva, J. Silva.
- Belgium: Lichtfus, Tysiak, Kees, Cayman, Tysiak, Vanhaevermaet, Deluze, Janssens, Toloba, Ourlings, Vullaert.
Interesting facts and head-to-head stats
- Portugal has failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Portugal has conceded first in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Belgium has lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Belgium has conceded first in 3 of their last 4 matches.
Portugal vs Belgium match prediction
An open and high-scoring match is expected. Portugal needs not just a win, but a big one—only then do they have a shot at advancing. This will force them to push forward from the opening whistle, play aggressively, and chase goals. Belgium, already out of contention, could actually make the game more entertaining: with no pressure or need for points, the Belgians can play freely, enjoy their football, and look to attack as well. All signs point to a lively contest with goals at both ends. My pick for this match is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69.
