Italy vs Spain prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 11 July 2025
Italy
Spain
On Friday, July 11, in the third round of the group stage of the UEFA Women's Euro 2025, Spain will face off against Italy. I am offering a bet on the individual total of one of the teams in this match.
Interesting facts and head-to-head history
- Spain are on a seven-game winning streak.
- In their last 11 matches, Spain have suffered only one defeat.
- Italy are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Spain are unbeaten in their last seven encounters against Italy.
Match preview
Heading into the European Championship, Italy were seen as the main contenders to finish second in this group—and so far, the Italian players are living up to that billing.
After two rounds, Italy sit in second place in the table. In their opening match, which could ultimately prove decisive, the Italians edged Belgium 1-0 thanks to a Caruso goal late in the first half. Italy could have already secured a spot in the knockout stages, but in the second round, they unexpectedly drew 1-1 with Portugal despite dominating the game. In the final round, even a narrow defeat could be enough for Italy to advance.
Spain are not just the clear favorites of this group, but of the entire tournament. The Spaniards have never won the European Championship before, but they are the reigning world champions. This squad has brought together the finest players in the world for the tournament.
This match against Italy is essentially a formality for Spain, and the coaching staff may well opt for some rotation. Spain have already secured a playoff spot, and a draw is enough to guarantee first place. In their opener, Spain demolished Portugal 5-0, then followed up with another emphatic victory—6-2 over Belgium.
Probable lineups
- Spain: Coll, Batlle, Mendez, Aleixandri, Carmona, Lopez, Guijarro, Putellas, Bonmati, Pina, Gonzalez
- Italy: Giuliani, Lenzini, Salvai, Linari, Di Guglielmo, Cantore, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin, Caruso, Girelli
Italy vs Spain prediction
Spain are the clear favorites here, and their attack has been nothing short of sensational this tournament. I’m backing Spain’s individual total over 2.5 goals.
