Palmeiras — Fluminense Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 26 February 2026

Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction Photo: https://x.com/Palmeiras/Author unknownn
Serie A Brazil (Round 4) 25 feb 2026, 19:30
Finished
2 : 1
Brazil,
Vitor Roque
9' (P)
Allan
13'
40'
Luciano Acosta

On February 26, 2026, in Round 4 of the Brazilian Série A, Palmeiras will host Fluminense. The match is set to kick off at 01:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Palmeiras

Palmeiras come into this match in good form. The team are currently on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions and have started the new Série A campaign confidently. Last season, Palmeiras were very close to winning the championship, finishing second in the table just three points behind the champions Flamengo.

In their most recent league match, Palmeiras claimed an impressive 3–1 away victory over Internacional. Prior to that, they recorded a dominant 5–1 win against Vitória, while their Série A campaign opened with a draw against Atlético Mineiro. So far this season, Palmeiras have played only one home league match, which they won convincingly.

Overall, Palmeiras’ home form looks very solid. The team are currently on a six-match unbeaten run at home across all competitions, registering five wins and one draw.

Looking at head-to-head meetings against Fluminense at home, Palmeiras hold a slight advantage. In the last six home matches against this opponent, they have recorded three wins, two draws, and only one defeat. Notably, all of those matches were low-scoring affairs, finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Fluminense

Fluminense finished last season in fifth place in the league table, ending the campaign 15 points behind the champions. The new season, however, has started quite confidently for the team.

Fluminense are currently on a four-match winning streak across all competitions, keeping a clean sheet in three of those victories. Overall, five of their last six matches have finished with under 2.5 goals.

In the league, Fluminense won their most recent match at home against Botafogo by a narrow 1–0 margin. Before that, they played out a 1–1 draw with Bahia and secured a 2–1 victory over Grêmio. The team remain unbeaten this season and currently sit fourth in the league standings.

Looking at recent head-to-head meetings against Palmeiras, the balance between the two sides has been very even. In the last five encounters, both teams have recorded two wins each, with one match ending in a draw. Notably, four of those five meetings finished with under 2.5 goals.

Probable Lineups

  • Palmeiras: Carlos Miguel, Piquerez, Murilo Cerqueira, Gómez, Khellven, Mauricio, Andreas Pereira, Marlon, Allan, López, Vitor Roque
  • Fluminense: Fábio, Rene, Freytes, Jemmes, Xavier, Martinelli, Bernal, Soteldo, Acosta, Serna, Kennedy

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Fluminense have won 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • 5 of Fluminense’s last 6 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Palmeiras’ last 6 home meetings against Fluminense have seen under 2.5 goals.

Palmeiras — Fluminense Prediction

Palmeiras and Fluminense both enjoyed solid performances last season and have carried that momentum into the new campaign. Palmeiras are currently at the top of the league standings, while Fluminense also remain unbeaten and sit fourth, continuing their positive run of results. Head-to-head meetings between these sides are usually very evenly contested. Matches are not always high-scoring, especially when Palmeiras play at home, where games between these opponents tend to be tight and often low-scoring. Considering the current form of both teams, their desire to extend their unbeaten streaks, and the historically balanced and low-scoring nature of their meetings, we expect another closely fought encounter between two strong sides, with few goals likely to be scored. Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.75
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