Olympiacos — Real Madrid Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 26 November 2025
On November 26, 2025, in the fifth round of the UEFA Champions League group stage, Olympiacos will host Real Madrid. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Olympiacos
Olympiacos come into this match in excellent form. The team are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, securing five wins and one draw in this period. Their last two matches in the Greek Super League were particularly convincing: first, they defeated Kifisia 3–1 away, and then they crushed Atromitos 3–0 at home.
Currently, Olympiacos top the Greek Super League table, two points ahead of PAOK. The team has shown strong attacking performance, scoring 26 goals in 11 matches, while conceding only 7, highlighting their defensive stability.
In the Champions League, the situation is more challenging. Their latest match at home against PSV ended in a 1–1 draw — their second home draw in the group (the first being against Pafos). They also lost to Arsenal and Barcelona. After four rounds, Olympiacos have just 2 points, and before the match against Real Madrid, their position looks critical. Essentially, they have nothing to lose, so they must fight for points in this game.
Historically, Olympiacos have had some advantage when hosting Real Madrid in Greece. At home, they have never lost to Madrid in official matches: three draws and one win. This record could give the Greek side a psychological boost ahead of the upcoming match.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid enter this match in a difficult situation. The team have gone three matches without a win. They first lost to Liverpool in the Champions League, then drew twice in La Liga — against Rayo Vallecano and Elche away. The match against Elche was especially challenging, as Madrid had to come back twice to avoid defeat.
Despite this, Real Madrid remain top of the La Liga table, though their lead over Barcelona has narrowed significantly. In the Champions League, Madrid have won three of their four games so far, earning 9 points and ranking 7th in the overall table. The team has scored 8 goals while conceding only 2. Kylian Mbappé has been particularly influential, scoring 5 of the 8 goals and ranking among the top scorers in the competition.
Regarding their record against Olympiacos, Madrid hold a slight advantage: in the last five official meetings, they won three, drew one, and lost one.
Probable Lineups
- Olympiacos: Tzolakis, Costinha, Retsos, Pirola, Ortega, Mouzakitis, Hezze, Martins, Podence, Chiquinho, El Kaabi
- Real Madrid: Courtois, Carreras, Asensio, Huijsen, Alexander-Arnold, Vinicius, Valverde, Camavinga, Bellingham, Guler, Mbappe
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Olympiacos have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Olympiacos have won 15 of their last 17 home matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Olympiacos’ last 4 matches.
- Real Madrid have remained unbeaten in 17 of their last 19 matches.
Olympiacos — Real Madrid Prediction
Both teams approach this match with different form and objectives. Olympiacos, despite strong performances in the Greek Super League and a series of convincing wins, are in a very difficult position in the Champions League. At home, the Greek club traditionally performs strongly and will try to use their home advantage to continue fighting for points. Real Madrid, meanwhile, continue to lead La Liga and remain competitive in the Champions League, but they are currently in a slight dip — failing to win in three consecutive matches. Considering the tournament situation, Olympiacos’ home strength, and Real Madrid’s desire to regain confidence, we can expect an open and high-scoring match. Olympiacos will need to score and secure points at all costs, while Real will not allow another failure. This match promises to be filled with chances and goals. My bet for this match: Total Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50.
