Atletico vs Inter prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 26 November 2025
One of the fixtures of Matchday 5 in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage will take place on Wednesday at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid, where Spain’s Atletico will host Italy’s Inter. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this clash with solid chances for success.
Match preview
Atletico head into this match in outstanding form, riding a five-game winning streak. Their last defeat came in the Champions League against London’s Arsenal (0-4). In their previous outing, Diego Simeone’s side narrowly edged Getafe thanks to a late own goal. As a result, the Madrid club currently sits fourth in La Liga.
In the Champions League, Atletico have been inconsistent, alternating between wins and losses. The Colchoneros first lost to Liverpool (2-3), then thrashed Germany’s Eintracht (5-1), suffered a heavy defeat to Arsenal (0-4), and bounced back in the next round with a victory over Belgian side Union (3-1).
Among the Madrid squad, Argentine striker Julián Álvarez stands out, having already scored nine goals across all competitions. However, he hasn’t found the net in the last two matches—let’s see if he can end this drought. On the downside, there’s a significant personnel blow: goalkeeper Jan Oblak picked up an injury while on international duty with Slovenia, and his participation in the match remains in doubt.
Inter, on the other hand, are not coming into this fixture in the best shape. Over the weekend, Cristian Chivu’s team fell short in the high-stakes Milan derby, losing 0-1 to AC Milan. Just like Atletico, the Nerazzurri currently occupy fourth place in their domestic league.
However, Inter’s Champions League campaign paints a much brighter picture. The Italians have won all four of their group stage matches so far. It’s worth noting that their opponents have been noticeably weaker than Atletico’s: first a win over Dutch side Ajax (2-0), followed by a convincing victory against Czech side Slavia (3-0), and then back-to-back wins over Belgian Union and Kazakhstan’s Kairat—4-0 and 2-1, respectively.
It’s also important that Inter will still be without Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Matteo Darmian, which could impact their performance.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Atletico are on a five-match winning streak.
- Atletico have scored first in each of their last five games.
- Over two goals have been scored in five of Inter’s last seven matches.
- Inter have opened the scoring in four of their last five fixtures.
- These teams have met three times in official matches, with Atletico holding the edge—two wins to Inter’s one.
Probable lineups
- Atletico: Musso - Llorente, Giménez, Lenglet, Ruggeri - Simeone, Koke, Barrios, Baena - Griezmann, Álvarez
- Inter: Sommer - Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni - Augusto, Barella, Çanlhanoğlu, Zieliński, Dimarco - Bonny, Martínez
Prediction
I expect this match to be low-scoring. Atletico under Simeone are renowned for their cautious, defensive approach, and Inter have shown similar tendencies—only twice in their last eight games have they seen the total exceed three goals. I anticipate a midfield battle with few clear-cut chances.
My prediction — under 3 goals.
