Northern Ireland have conceded just once at home since October 2023: prediction for Northern Ireland — Georgia

Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
UEFA Nations League B (Round 4) 05 oct 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Belfast, Windsor Park

The UEFA Nations League fourth-round match between Northern Ireland and Georgia will take place on October 5 at Windsor Park. The hosts have collected seven points and lead the group, while Georgia have just one point and are yet to score a goal in the tournament.

Northern Ireland: group leaders with an almost impenetrable home defence

Michael O’Neill’s side began their Nations League campaign with a 1-0 win over Georgia, then drew 0-0 with Hungary before thrashing Ukraine 3-0. As a result, Northern Ireland remain unbeaten after three rounds and have surprisingly moved to the top of the group.

Their home record is particularly impressive. Since October 2023, Northern Ireland have lost just one match on home soil, recording nine wins and two draws, while keeping ten clean sheets in their last 12 home games.

Georgia: one point and no goals

After the 0-1 defeat to Northern Ireland, Willy Sagnol left his position as head coach, with Ramaz Svanadze taking charge of the team. Under his guidance, Georgia first drew 0-0 with Ukraine before losing 0-1 to Hungary.

The visitors’ main problem is obvious: they have failed to score in all three rounds. Their away form is also poor, with Georgia losing four of their last five matches on the road.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Northern Ireland have collected seven points from three rounds and remain unbeaten.
  • Georgia have not scored a single goal in the current Nations League campaign.
  • Northern Ireland won the first meeting between these teams 1-0.

The hosts could keep another clean sheet: prediction for Northern Ireland — Georgia

Northern Ireland look far more consistent at the moment and are especially strong at home. O’Neill’s team control space effectively, rarely allow chances in front of their own goal and have already shown that they can neutralise Georgia’s attack.

The visitors have exciting attacking players, including Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Georges Mikautadze, but so far that has not translated into goals. Given their poor away form and lack of scoring in the group, another goalless outing looks highly possible.

Prediction on game W1(0)
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