Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction, H2H & Probable Line-ups – February 5, 2025
The second-leg semifinal of the Carabao Cup will be played on Wednesday at St. James' Park, where Newcastle will face Arsenal. In the first leg, the Magpies secured an impressive 2-0 victory away from home. A bet on goals in this match looks promising with good chances of success.
Match Preview
Under Eddie Howe's guidance, Newcastle shocked Arsenal in the first leg with a confident 2-0 away win. To reach the final, Newcastle only needs to maintain their minimal advantage and avoid losing by more than one goal. In this season's Carabao Cup, the team has already knocked out several Premier League sides, including Brentford, Chelsea, and Nottingham Forest.
If Newcastle manage to overcome Arsenal, it will be their third appearance in the final of this competition. Notably, they have not lost in normal time in the last eight League Cup matches, with six wins and two draws. However, they approach this match following a 1-2 home loss to Fulham in the league. Currently, Newcastle are in sixth place in the Premier League, just two points behind the top 4.
Arsenal last won the Carabao Cup in 1993, and repeating that success will be a tough challenge. To progress to the final, Mikel Arteta's side must secure a convincing away win with a few goals in hand. If Arsenal win by two goals, the tie will go to penalties.
Interestingly, Arsenal have suffered only two defeats by more than one goal this season, including their recent 0-2 loss to Bournemouth in the Premier League. As for their away form in the Cup, Arsenal have lost only once in normal time in their last 10 away games, with five wins and four draws. On the weekend, the Gunners thrashed Manchester City 5-1 at home.
Probable Lineups
- Newcastle: Martin Dubravka – Lewis Hall, Valentino Livramento, Sven Botman, Dan Burn – Joelinton, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock – Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Anthony Gordon.
- Arsenal: David Raya – William Saliba, Thomas Partey, Jurrien Timber, Gabriel Magalhães – Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard, Myles Lewis-Skelly – Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard, Kai Havertz.
Match Facts & Head-to-Head
- In the first round, Newcastle won 1-0 at home against Arsenal.
- Both teams to score (BTTS) occurred in only one of the last five meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals was a successful bet in only one of the last five encounters.
Prediction
Newcastle has been strong at home, and a victory for Arsenal seems unlikely, even after their impressive 5-1 win over Manchester City. We suggest a bet on "Both Teams to Score" with odds of 1.70 for this match.