New Zealand vs Ukraine prediction, H2H and probable line-ups — June 11, 2025
On June 11, 2025, BMO Field in Toronto will host a friendly clash between the national teams of Ukraine and New Zealand. Here’s a bet suggestion for this encounter.
Ukraine
Serhiy Rebrov’s side has been more disappointing than inspiring lately. After a lackluster Euro 2024 campaign—where Ukraine failed to progress from a relatively average group featuring Romania, Slovakia, and Belgium—their UEFA Nations League start was equally unconvincing. Back-to-back losses to Albania and the Czech Republic cast doubt on the team’s prospects, but their subsequent matches showed grit and determination.
Two wins and two draws secured Ukraine a spot in the promotion playoffs, and even a showdown with Belgium didn’t seem like a death sentence. The first leg became one of Rebrov’s finest matches at the helm—a spirited 3-1 victory sparked hope for a turnaround. However, the return game in Belgium changed everything: the hosts cruised to a 3-0 win, reaffirming their favorite status and dashing Ukraine’s promotion hopes.
The latest friendly in Canada dealt another blow to Ukraine’s morale. By the 89th minute, they were trailing 0-4, and only two late goals spared them from a rout. Heading into the match against New Zealand, Rebrov’s squad has clear motivation—such defeats leave a deep mark and can be a catalyst for change.
New Zealand
The All Whites are displaying confident and consistent football. In the second round of World Cup qualifying, Darren Bazeley’s team recorded three comprehensive victories: 8-0 over Samoa, 8-1 against Vanuatu, and 3-0 versus Tahiti. In the semifinals, New Zealand trounced Fiji 7-0, then convincingly beat New Caledonia 3-0 in Auckland to secure their third World Cup appearance after 1982 and 2010.
New Zealand approach the Ukraine fixture fresh off a narrow 1-0 win in a friendly against Ivory Coast. Both sides fielded mixed line-ups, as is typical in friendlies, and New Zealand managed just one shot on target—which proved decisive. The team’s star, Chris Wood, featured only in the final 10 minutes, but there’s a strong chance he’ll start against Ukraine.
Despite an impressive eight-match unbeaten streak, the level of opposition in Oceania must be considered. Against higher-caliber teams—Mexico, the USA, and Ivory Coast—the All Whites have managed just one win, one draw, and one defeat, with a combined scoreline of 2-4 against them.
Probable line-ups
- New Zealand: Crocombe, Tuiloma, Surman, Bindon, Kakace, Stamenic, Bell, Just, Singh, McCowatt, Wood
- Ukraine: Lunin, Tymchyk, Zabarnyi, Talaverov, Matviyenko, Kalyuzhnyi, Zubkov, Shaparenko, Zinchenko, Sudakov, Yaremchuk
Match facts and H2H
- The "over 2.5 goals" bet has landed in Ukraine’s last four matches.
- Only one of Ukraine’s last six matches failed to see both teams score.
- New Zealand have conceded just once in their last seven games.
- This will be the first ever meeting between the two sides.
Prediction
Ukraine must deliver a statement in response to their painful loss to Canada. New Zealand are opponents Rebrov’s men are expected to overcome. Anything else will put the head coach’s future under serious scrutiny. Our prediction: Ukraine to win at odds of 1.69.
