Netherlands vs France prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 13 July 2025

Netherlands vs France prediction Photo: uefa.com/ Author unknownn
Netherlands Netherlands
Finished
2 : 5
International, Basel, St. Jakob Park
France France
Victoria Pelova
26'
Selma Bacha
41' (OG)
22'
Sandie Toletti
61'
Marie-Antoinette Katoto
64' 67'
Delphine Cascarino
90' + 2 (P)
Sakina Karchaoui

In the third round of the UEFA Women's European Championship group stage, the Netherlands will face France. The match will take place in Basel on Sunday, 13 July, with kick-off scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. I’m backing a bet on a high-scoring encounter.

Match preview

The Netherlands women’s national team continues to be one of Europe’s most exciting and ambitious sides. Under the guidance of Andries Jonker, the team plays attacking football, focusing on possession and dynamic use of the flanks.

The Dutch excel at creating plenty of dangerous chances thanks to their technical play and rapid transitions from defense to attack. However, there’s a sense that this squad may have already passed its peak.

Vivianne Miedema remains the linchpin for the Netherlands, having surpassed the milestone of 100 goals for the national team in this tournament. Only five European players have scored more for their countries, and the Dutch striker is still just 28 years old.

Overall, the Netherlands approach the match against France in a somber mood, but with burning motivation to fight for a place in the knockout stage. They must beat France and hope that England fail to overcome Wales, a scenario that seems almost impossible.

France’s women’s team made a confident start to the tournament, winning their first two matches with an aggregate score of 6-2. The side showcases high intensity and quick attacking football, making excellent use of the wings. However, the French defense has shown occasional lapses, especially in positional play.

In the opener, France narrowly edged reigning European champions England, all but securing a place in the playoffs with that result. As expected, they encountered little resistance from Wales, smoothly advancing past the group stage.

The French squad boasts plenty of talented players, allowing the coach to rotate without sacrificing quality. Even a draw in this third group match guarantees them top spot in the group, and realistically, even a loss may suffice.

Interestingly, despite their strength, France have yet to achieve major success at the biggest international tournaments and have never reached a final. Their best result remains the semi-final of the last European Championship, but now the team is determined to go even further.

Match facts

  • The Netherlands have lost two of their last five matches, both by a 0-4 scoreline.
  • France are on a ten-match winning streak.
  • The Netherlands average 1.4 goals per game, while France average 2.7 goals per game.

Probable lineups

  • Netherlands: van Domselaar, Casparij, Janssen, Beerensteyn, Brugts, Groenen, Kaptein, Pelova, Grant, Roord, Miedema.
  • France: Peyraud-Magnin, Samoura, Sombath, Bacha, Ndongala, Geyoro, Majri, Toletti, Diani, Malard, Mateo.

H2H

The Netherlands have not beaten France since 2015.

Prediction

Both teams boast quality attacking talent, and their encounters are always packed with excitement. Despite solid defensive records, both the Netherlands and France are prone to mistakes under pressure. Given that a defeat could mean facing a tougher opponent in the quarterfinals, the French are unlikely to hold anything back, while the Dutch will be highly motivated. I’m backing over 2.5 total goals in this one.

Prediction on game Total over 2.5
Odds: 1.82
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