England vs Wales prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 13 July 2025
England
Wales
In the third round of the UEFA Women's European Championship group stage, England will face Wales in a showdown set for St. Gallen on Sunday, 13 July. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. Here's my take on who will come out on top in this clash.
Match preview
The reigning European champions and recent World Cup finalists, led by Sarina Wiegman, remain a dominant force on the international stage. The team continues to play with an attacking mindset, focusing on ball possession, intricate midfield combinations, and aggressive wing play.
Most of the squad boasts major tournament-winning experience, making England one of the top contenders for a podium finish. In the group, the Lionesses comfortably dispatched the Netherlands, though their defeat to France did raise some concerns.
Nevertheless, heading into the third group match, England look in excellent shape and exude confidence. Their playoff destiny is firmly in their own hands—they simply need to overcome a modest Welsh side to guarantee progression.
Interestingly, even in other scenarios, England are close to securing at least the minimum required. If the Netherlands fail to beat France, the result against Wales becomes irrelevant.
Wales have found themselves outmatched at Euro 2025. After two group games, their chances of advancing have evaporated, but that outcome was largely expected.
Against the Netherlands, the Welsh showed discipline and tried to make their mark through solid defensive organization. However, their structure unraveled against France. Both matches ended in heavy defeats, with legendary Fishlock netting their sole goal of the tournament.
In this final group fixture, Wales will likely focus on a tightly organized defense, hoping for rare breakthroughs via long balls and set pieces. However, their limited squad depth makes it difficult to maintain consistency or pose a real threat in attack.
Still, Wales will be highly motivated: facing England isn't just another group game—it's a fierce derby. While England are clear favorites, the Welsh are unlikely to go down without a fight.
Match facts
- England have won just half of their last four matches.
- Wales have lost four straight games and are yet to record a win in 2025.
- England average 3.2 goals per match, while Wales average just 0.6.
Probable lineups
- England: Hampton, Greenwood, Carter, Williamson, Bronze, Walsh, Stanway, Toone, Hemp, James, Russo.
- Wales: Middleton, Morgan, Green, Evans, Woodham, James, Barton, Rowe, Holland, Morgan, Fishlock.
H2H
- These teams have met four times: one draw and three wins for England.
- Wales have never scored against the Lionesses.
Prediction
There's little doubt about the outcome in this fixture. Expect England to attack from the outset and look to settle the result by halftime. Wales will be forced onto the defensive and will have to rely on rare counterattacks. Given the tournament stakes and the gulf in class, my recommendation is to back England with a -2.5 goal handicap.
