Napoli - Qarabag prediction, H2H and probable line-ups - 25 November 2025
One of the matches of the 5th round of the general stage of the Champions League 2025/26 will take place on Tuesday at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples, where Napoli will take on Azerbaijan's Qarabag. We offer a bet on the performance with good chances of passage.
Match preview
After a triumphant last season in Serie A, the Neapolitans were looking forward to a confident performance in the Champions League, but the start turned out to be crumpled. Victory over Sporting was the only positive result in four rounds, the rest being defeats to Man City and PSV, as well as a draw with Eintracht.
Nevertheless, Napoli remain a very strong home team. Only one defeat in the last 19 matches at home in European competitions and a high performance make the Neapolitans the favourites. Victory over Atalanta in Serie A gives them additional confidence.
The Azerbaijani club is playing its second season in the Champions League main draw and is showing mature, balanced football. After victories over Benfica and Copenhagen, the Stallions took an important point in their home match against Chelsea, playing from a position of strength and quality counter-attacking.
Gurbanov's side have avoided defeat in three of their four rounds, with attacking leader Andrade showing bright form, scoring regularly. However, Qarabag have never won against Italian clubs, and the game in Naples will be a new serious test.
Probable line-ups
- Napoli: Milenkovic-Savic; Boeikema, Rrahmani, Buongiorno; Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, McTominay, Olivera; Politano, Neres; Hoylund.
- Qarabag: Kochalski; Silva, Mustafazade, Madina, Jafarguliev; Bikallo, Jankovic; Kadi, Andrade, Zubir; Duran.
Match Facts and Head-to-head encounters
- ‘Napoli’ lost only 1 of the last 19 home matches in European competitions.
- ‘Qarabag’ has never won against Italian clubs in six meetings (1 draw, 5 defeats).
- Andrade has scored 5 goals in the current Champions League, including qualification.
Prediction
The hosts are traditionally powerful on their home field, and the win in Serie A at the weekend was proof of their recovery. Qarabag have a fighting squad and good results in the group, but travelling to Naples against a motivated opponent is a different level. Our bet for the match is ‘Napoli win and TB 2.5’ with odds of 1.77.
