Marseille - Newcastle United prediction, H2H and likely line-ups - 25 November 2025

Marseille vs Newcastle prediction Photo: footballwhispers.com / Author unknown
Champions League (Round 5) 25 nov 2025, 15:00
Finished
2 : 1
International, Marseille, Stade Orange Velodrome
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
46' 50'
6'
Harvey Barnes

One of the matches of the 5th round of the Champions League 2025/26 general stage will take place on Tuesday at the Velodrome Arena in Marseille, where local Olympique Marseille will take on English side Newcastle United. Both teams approach the match with different objectives - the hosts are trying to preserve their play-off chances, while the visitors are trying to secure their place in the group leaders. We offer a bet on this match with a high probability of passing.

Match preview

‘Olympique’ is experiencing an unstable euro season: after the victory over Ajax, the team lost to Sporting, Real Madrid and Atalanta, being among the outsiders of the general stage. The last defeat at home to the Italians was particularly painful - a missed goal in the 89th minute left the club with three points in four rounds.

Nevertheless, Marseille have picked up momentum in Ligue 1 - two consecutive 8-1 wins against Brest and Nice are encouraging. In attack, the trio of Greenwood, Paixao and Aubameyang is looking more and more organised, and it is through the pacey wings that the hosts can cause problems for their opponents.

Eddie Howe's side are showing great form in the Champions League, with three straight wins after a 9-0 defeat to Barcelona. Of particular note is the defence - not a single goal conceded in the last three rounds, despite the tight schedule and personnel problems.

The Magpies' away form in APL is far from ideal, but in Europe it's different - only two defeats in their last 13 away group stage matches. A win in Marseille would be historic: the club has never won four consecutive matches in the Champions League before.

Likely line-ups

  • Marseille: Rulli; Vea, Pavard, Balerdi, Emerson; Kondogbia, Heybjerg; Greenwood, Gomez, Paixao; Aubameyang.
  • Newcastle United: Pope; Livramento, Boatman, Thiaw, Byrne; Guimarães, Tonali, Joelinton; Murphy, Voltemaade, Barnes

Match Facts and Head-to-head encounters

  • Marseille have lost three of their four matches in the group stage of the LC 2025/26.
  • Newcastle have scored nine goals and conceded none in the last three rounds of the Champions League.
  • The last face-to-face meeting between the teams took place in 2004 in the UEFA Cup - then Marseille won.

Prediction

Despite the home support and good form in the league, Marseille have too many problems in the European Cup, especially against organised opponents. ‘Newcastle’ at the peak of form, confidently acts in all areas of the field and is clearly motivated to reach the playoffs early. Our bet on the game is ‘Newcastle win with a handicap (0)’ with odds of 1.88.

Prediction on game W2(0)
Odds: 1.88
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